Match Info

Date: 12 March 2022, Saturday


	Peterborough United		Stoke City

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.75	3.3	2.05
	3.6	3.35	2.15	Watch
	3.45	3.35	2.08
	3.73	3.41	2.14
	3.9	3.2	2	Watch
	3.9	3.22	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (3.11)	3.32 ↓ (3.39)	2.09 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterborough United
25.9%

Draw
28.7%

Stoke City
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

28%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

18.8%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+19.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peterborough United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stoke City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Peterborough United - Stoke City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 15).

Peterborough has the most likely position - 24 (68.34%), has project points - 31, has currently - 22, has a very good chance of relegated (97%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Stoke has the most likely position - 15 (14.9%), has project points - 61, has currently - 45, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 31, very small importance 8, small match rating 20. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Two teams has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Stoke could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Stoke will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Peterborough won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterborough United
English League Championship
08.03.22	Bournemouth - Peterborough United	1:1 ✺
04.03.22	Huddersfield Town - Peterborough United	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
01.03.22	Peterborough United - Manchester City	0:2 ✺
English League Championship
26.02.22	Peterborough United - Hull City	0:3 ✺
23.02.22	Fulham - Peterborough United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLLLL
- Stoke City
English League Championship
08.03.22	Barnsley - Stoke City	1:1 ✺
05.03.22	Stoke City - Blackpool	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.03.22	Crystal Palace - Stoke City	2:1 ✺
English League Championship
26.02.22	Bournemouth - Stoke City	2:1 ✺
23.02.22	Stoke City - Luton Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
20.11.21	Stoke City - Peterborough United	2:0

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