Match Info

Championship - Round 34

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Ewood Park (Blackburn)

Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Iceland	Viaplay
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Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Blackburn Rovers		Bristol City

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.37	3.25	3
	2.37	3.2	3.15	Watch
	2.34	3.29	3.12	Watch
	2.38	3	3
	2.34	3.14	3.11	Watch
	2.33	3.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.32)	3.23 ↓ (3.4)	3.05 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blackburn Rovers
40.1%

Draw
29.2%

Bristol City
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

27.8%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

27.1%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	19%	38.1%

Blackburn Rovers - Bristol City Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Blackburn will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Bristol City will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Blackburn: 21.7% – 64.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Blackburn (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.33) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Toth B. (G) 17. Carter H. 15. McLoughlin S. (C) 20. Cashin E. 2. Alebiosu R. 31. Montgomery K. 6. Tronstad S. 3. Pickering H. 25. Morishita R. 23. Ohashi Y. 29. Jorgensen M.	23. Vitek R. (G) 19. Tanner G. 38. Eile N. 5. Atkinson R. 3. Pring C. 40. Morsy S. 12. Knight J. (C) 17. Sykes M. 14. Horvat T. 10. Twine S. 18. Riis E.
Substitutes
21. Afolayan O. 24. Baradji M. 14. De Neve D. 28. Forshaw A. 5. Gardner-Hickman T. 11. Gudjohnsen A. 35. Michalski N. (G) 26. O'Riordan C. 4. Ribeiro Y.	30. Armstrong S. 20. Bell S. 6. Bird M. 11. Burgzorg D. 44. Earthy G. 13. Lumley J. (G) 24. Naylor S. 21. Neto Borges 4. Randell A.
Coaches
O'Neill Mi.	Struber G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Ohashi Y. ⚽, Morishita R. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Riis E. ⚽,
30', Morishita R. 🟨,
31', 1 - 2, Twine S. ⚽, Riis E. (A),
42', Ohashi Y. 🟨,
45+3', Morsy S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tronstad S. ↓, Baradji M. ↑,
46', Atkinson R. ↓, Neto Borges ↑,
58', Twine S. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
58', Riis E. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
58', Morsy S. ↓, Randell A. ↑,
67', Jorgensen M. ↓, Gudjohnsen A. ↑,
67', Pickering H. ↓, De Neve D. ↑,
83', Montgomery K. ↓, Afolayan O. ↑,
86', Horvat T. 🟨,
90+2', Horvat T. ↓, Bird M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blackburn won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Blackburn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Blackburn: Cantwell T. (Injury) Garrett J. (Injury) Hedges R. (Injury) Miller L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Pears A. (Injury) Pratt G. (Injury) Tavares S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Bristol City: McNally L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Blackburn: Wharton S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Blackburn won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:25. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Blackburn won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Bristol City: 2.86% Blackburn: 1.04%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Bristol City	9	4	2	3	12:13	-1	14
12	Blackburn	9	3	3	3	14:13	1	12

Last Results with these Odds

Blackburn Rovers - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.72%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Bristol City - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.49%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blackburn Rovers
English League Championship
20.02.26	Blackburn Rovers - Preston North End	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Queens Park Rangers - Blackburn Rovers	1:3 ✺
07.02.26	Norwich City - Blackburn Rovers	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	Blackburn Rovers - Sheffield Wednesday	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Blackburn Rovers - Hull City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWL
- Bristol City
English League Championship
21.02.26	Swansea City - Bristol City	1:0 ✺
17.02.26	Bristol City - Wrexham	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Hull City - Bristol City	2:3 ✺
30.01.26	Bristol City - Derby County	0:5 ✺
24.01.26	Bristol City - Sheffield Wednesday	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
04.11.25	Bristol City - Blackburn Rovers	0:1
25.01.25	Bristol City - Blackburn Rovers	2:1
14.09.24	Blackburn Rovers - Bristol City	3:0
10.04.24	Bristol City - Blackburn Rovers	5:0
12.12.23	Blackburn Rovers - Bristol City	2:1
21.01.23	Bristol City - Blackburn Rovers	1:1
03.09.22	Blackburn Rovers - Bristol City	2:3

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