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Current Win Probability
Bristol City 48.5%
Draw 28.4%
Wigan Athletic 23.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50%
27.7%
22.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.5%
26.9%
21.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75.5%
12.2%
12.2%
Bristol City - Wigan Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
49 users predict this event. Bristol City will win (votes: 37 - 75.5%). Wigan will win (votes: 6 - 12.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 12.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol City: 63.5% โ 87.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
Bristol City has the most likely position - 15 (9.2%), has project points - 60, has currently - 39, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Wigan has the most likely position - 24 (23.61%), has project points - 46, has currently - 29, has a good chance of relegated (62%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality38, small importance30, match rating34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol City won 1.
Bristol City in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Wigan is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Bristol City is a favorite.
There will not play in Bristol City: Benarous A.
(Injury)
Conway T.
(Injury)
Naismith K.
(Injury)
Wilson K.
(Injury)
There will not play in Wigan: Kerr J.
(Knee Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Bristol City won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Bristol City won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-5.
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