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Current Win Probability
Blackburn Rovers 46.6%
Draw 28.1%
Wigan Athletic 25.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.5%
26%
19.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.6%
25.5%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Blackburn Rovers's form might have worsened.
Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wigan Athletic's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Blackburn Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wigan Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80.2%
10.8%
9%
Blackburn Rovers - Wigan Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
Blackburn Rovers will win
(89 of 111 users predict this - 80.18%). Confidence interval (95%): 72.76% โ 87.6%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 8 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
Blackburn has the most likely position - 12 (8.31%), has project points - 64, has currently - 43, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (12%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Wigan has the most likely position - 24 (34.12%), has project points - 44, has currently - 25, has a good chance of relegated (70%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality35, small importance24, small match rating29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Blackburn won 1.
Recent matches Blackburn is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Wigan is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Blackburn could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Blackburn have a series of guest games.
In this match Blackburn is a favorite.
There will not play in Blackburn: Barnes S.
(Injury)
Batty J.
(Injury)
Brittain C.
(Injury)
Hyam D.
(Injury)
There will not play in Wigan: Kerr J.
(Injury)
Pearce T.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Wigan: Wyke Ch.
(Injury)
Last 17 head-to-head matches Blackburn won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21-21.
Including matches at home between the teams Blackburn won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-6.
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