Match Info

Championship - Round 31

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: MKM Stadium (Hull)

Referee: Langford O. (Eng)


	Hull City		Bristol City

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.3	2.7	Watch
	2.56	3.34	2.76
	2.6	3.41	2.81
	2.48	3.39	2.82	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.75
	2.62	3.39	2.83	Watch
	2.45	3.33	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.18)	3.34 ↓ (3.45)	2.8 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hull City
37.6%

Draw
28.5%

Bristol City
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

27%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

25.4%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hull City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hull City's form might have worsened.

Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hull City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bristol City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	13.6%	13.6%

Hull City - Bristol City Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Hull will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Bristol City will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hull: 54.1% – 91.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Hull (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Bristol City (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hull City will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Hull (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Bristol City (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pandur I. (G) 37. McNair P. 15. Egan J. 4. Hughes C. 2. Coyle L. (C) 27. Slater R. 5. Lundstram J. 3. Giles R. 21. Gelhardt J. 22. Joseph K. 9. McBurnie O.	23. Vitek R. (G) 19. Tanner G. 16. Dickie R. (C) 5. Atkinson R. 2. McCrorie R. 40. Morsy S. 4. Randell A. 21. Neto Borges 14. Horvat T. 10. Twine S. 18. Riis E.
Substitutes
33. Collyer T. 26. Dowell K. 23. Famewo A. 20. Hadziahmetovic A. 16. Jacob M. 36. Koumas L. 58. McCarthy C. 7. Millar L. 12. Phillips D. (G)	30. Armstrong S. 20. Bell S. 11. Burgzorg D. 44. Earthy G. 38. Eile N. 13. Lumley J. (G) 3. Pring C. 17. Sykes M. 8. Williams J.
Coaches
Jakirovic S.	Struber G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
24', 1 - 0, McBurnie O. ⚽, Slater R. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Atkinson R. ⚽, Horvat T. (A),
39', 1 - 2, McCrorie R. ⚽, Twine S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Giles R. ↓, Millar L. ↑,
46', Joseph K. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
50', 1 - 3, Riis E. ⚽, Twine S. (A),
65', Lundstram J. ↓, Dowell K. ↑,
65', Egan J. ↓, Jacob M. ↑,
70', McCrorie R. ↓, Sykes M. ↑,
71', Riis E. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
76', McNair P. ↓, Collyer T. ↑,
78', 2 - 3, Dowell K. ⚽, Gelhardt J. (A),
79', Horvat T. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
79', Morsy S. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
81', Collyer T. 🟨,
87', Slater R. 🟨,
90+7', Tanner G. ↓, Eile N. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hull won 0.

Hull has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Bristol City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bristol City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Hull: Ajayi S. (Hamstring Injury) Belloumi M. (Hamstring Injury) Crooks M. (Hamstring Injury) Drameh C. (Thigh Injury) Giles R. (Injury) Gyabi D. (Groin Injury) Matazo E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Bristol City: Atkinson R. (Inactive) Bird M. (Calf Injury) McNally L. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hull won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:37. (average 1.5:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Hull won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Bristol City: 2.86%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Bristol City	9	4	2	3	12:13	-1	14

Last Results with these Odds

Bristol City - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 30.28%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hull City
English League Championship
03.02.26	Hull City - Watford	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Blackburn Rovers - Hull City	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Hull City - Swansea City	2:1 ✺
20.01.26	Preston North End - Hull City	0:3 ✺
17.01.26	Southampton - Hull City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 TWWWW
- Bristol City
English League Championship
30.01.26	Bristol City - Derby County	0:5 ✺
24.01.26	Bristol City - Sheffield Wednesday	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Ipswich Town - Bristol City	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Oxford United - Bristol City	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Bristol City - Watford	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
30.08.25	Bristol City - Hull City	4:2
08.03.25	Bristol City - Hull City	1:1
10.08.24	Hull City - Bristol City	1:1
22.12.23	Bristol City - Hull City	3:2
25.08.23	Hull City - Bristol City	1:1
25.02.23	Bristol City - Hull City	1:0
30.07.22	Hull City - Bristol City	2:1

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