Match Info

Date: 15 January 2022, Saturday


	Bristol Rovers		Hartlepool United

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.6
	2.15	3.1	3.4
	2.12	3.25	3.65
	2.14	3.2	3.3
	2.23	3.24	3.63
	2.1	3.4	3.3
	2.21	3.5	3.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.09)	3.27 ↓ (3.29)	3.48 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol Rovers
43.9%

Draw
28.9%

Hartlepool United
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

28.7%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

19.2%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bristol Rovers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hartlepool United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bristol Rovers - Hartlepool United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 18 and 16).

Bristol Rovers has the most likely position - 14 (7.16%), has project points - 63, has currently - 26, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (14%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Hartlepool has the most likely position - 21 (12.38%), has project points - 51, has currently - 28, has a small chance of relegated (11%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Bristol Rovers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hartlepool have a series of home games.

Bristol Rovers will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rovers
English FA Cup
08.01.22	Peterborough United - Bristol Rovers	2:1 ✺
English League Two
11.12.21	Bristol Rovers - Rochdale	4:2 ✺
07.12.21	Bristol Rovers - Port Vale	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
04.12.21	Bristol Rovers - Sutton United	2:1 ✺
English League Two
27.11.21	Forest Green Rovers - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLWL
- Hartlepool United
English FA Cup
08.01.22	Hartlepool United - Blackpool	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
04.01.22	Hartlepool United - Bolton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
English League Two
01.01.22	Hartlepool United - Oldham Athletic	0:0 ✺
26.12.21	Mansfield Town - Hartlepool United	3:2 ✺
11.12.21	Hartlepool United - Scunthorpe United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
11.09.21	Hartlepool United - Bristol Rovers	1:0
01.03.16	Bristol Rovers - Hartlepool United	4:1
29.09.15	Hartlepool United - Bristol Rovers	0:3
15.03.14	Hartlepool United - Bristol Rovers	4:0
21.09.13	Bristol Rovers - Hartlepool United	2:2

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