Match Info

Date: 15 February 2022, Tuesday


	Bristol Rovers		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.4	2.7
	2.55	3.1	2.75
	2.5	3.35	2.75
	2.55	3.1	2.75
	2.63	3.37	2.81
	2.6	3.2	2.7
	2.59	3.45	2.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.57)	3.28 ↓ (3.35)	2.76 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol Rovers
36.8%

Draw
28.9%

Sutton United
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

28.1%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

20.3%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bristol Rovers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sutton United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bristol Rovers - Sutton United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs)).

Bristol Rovers has the most likely position - 11 (10.35%), has project points - 64, has currently - 38, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (14%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sutton has the most likely position - 6 (12.01%), has project points - 74, has currently - 50, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (47%), has a chance of promoted (28%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 12, importance 36, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Bristol Rovers is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sutton is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Sutton have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rovers
English League Two
12.02.22	Bristol Rovers - Mansfield Town	0:0 ✺
08.02.22	Oldham Athletic - Bristol Rovers	2:1 ✺
05.02.22	Sutton United - Bristol Rovers	1:1 ✺
29.01.22	Bristol Rovers - Walsall	1:0 ✺
25.01.22	Scunthorpe United - Bristol Rovers	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLTWW
- Sutton United
English League Two
12.02.22	Sutton United - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
08.02.22	Sutton United - Salford City	0:0 ✺
05.02.22	Sutton United - Bristol Rovers	1:1 ✺
29.01.22	Carlisle United - Sutton United	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
25.01.22	Sutton United - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
05.02.22	Sutton United - Bristol Rovers	1:1
English FA Cup
04.12.21	Bristol Rovers - Sutton United	2:1

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