Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Memorial Stadium (Bristol)


	Bristol Rovers		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	1.7	4	5
	1.65	3.6	4.75
	1.66	3.8	5.2
	1.68	3.8	4.7
	1.68	3.75	5.12
	1.67	3.4	4.75
	1.64	3.78	4.85	Watch
	1.7	3.85	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.73)	3.75 ↓ (3.78)	4.9 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol Rovers
55.9%

Draw
25%

Rochdale
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

24.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

24.1%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Bristol Rovers - Rochdale Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Rochdale will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 3.

Recent matches Bristol Rovers is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rochdale is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Bristol Rovers is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rovers
English League One
29.10.22	Derby County - Bristol Rovers	4:2 ✺
26.10.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Bristol Rovers	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Bristol Rovers - Swindon Town	3:0 ✺
English League One
15.10.22	Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTTWW
- Rochdale AFC
English League Two
29.10.22	Walsall - Rochdale	1:0 ✺
25.10.22	Tranmere Rovers - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Rochdale - AFC Wimbledon	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Rochdale - Salford City	2:3 penalties ✺
English League Two
15.10.22	Rochdale - Barrow	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
30.04.22	Rochdale - Bristol Rovers	3:4
11.12.21	Bristol Rovers - Rochdale	4:2
English League One
30.01.21	Bristol Rovers - Rochdale	1:2
31.10.20	Rochdale - Bristol Rovers	1:1
02.11.19	Rochdale - Bristol Rovers	1:2
22.04.19	Bristol Rovers - Rochdale	0:1
02.10.18	Rochdale - Bristol Rovers	0:0

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