Match Info

Date: 30 September 2022, Friday

Location: One Call Stadium (Mansfield)

Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)


	Mansfield Town		Hartlepool United

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	8
	1.43	4.4	7.25
	1.4	4.5	7.5
	1.41	4.4	7
	1.46	4.63	7.72
	1.4	4.33	8
	1.44	4.75	7.7	Watch
	1.42	4.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.45)	4.48 ↑ (4.21)	7.52 ↑ (6.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mansfield Town
66.3%

Draw
21.1%

Hartlepool United
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

22.1%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

21.2%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84%	0%	16%

Mansfield Town - Hartlepool United Predictions

Users Predictions: Mansfield Town will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.63% – 98.37%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs) and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Mansfield has the most likely position - 2 (13.64%), has project points - 81, has currently - 19, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (35%), has a chance of promoted (47%), has a small chance of win league (12%).

Hartlepool has the most likely position - 24 (32.23%), has project points - 39, has currently - 5, has a chance of relegated (49%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has very small quality 9, importance 48, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 2.

Mansfield is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hartlepool is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Mansfield have a series of guest games.

In this match Mansfield is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Mansfield won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mansfield Town
English League Two
24.09.22	Crewe Alexandra - Mansfield Town	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
20.09.22	Grimsby Town - Mansfield Town	2:0 ✺
English League Two
17.09.22	Gillingham - Mansfield Town	0:2 ✺
13.09.22	Mansfield Town - Carlisle United	0:0 ✺
03.09.22	Doncaster Rovers - Mansfield Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWTW
- Hartlepool United
English League Two
24.09.22	Hartlepool United - Gillingham	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
20.09.22	Morecambe - Hartlepool United	1:0 penalties ✺
English League Two
17.09.22	Sutton United - Hartlepool United	2:0 ✺
13.09.22	Hartlepool United - Crewe Alexandra	1:1 ✺
03.09.22	Colchester United - Hartlepool United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
29.03.22	Hartlepool United - Mansfield Town	2:2
26.12.21	Mansfield Town - Hartlepool United	3:2
11.02.17	Mansfield Town - Hartlepool United	4:0
17.09.16	Hartlepool United - Mansfield Town	0:0
02.04.16	Hartlepool United - Mansfield Town	2:1
21.11.15	Mansfield Town - Hartlepool United	3:1
21.03.15	Hartlepool United - Mansfield Town	1:0

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