Match Info

Date: 4 January 2022, Tuesday


	Hartlepool United		Bolton Wanderers

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.3	2
	3.15	3.35	2.05
	3.2	3.35	2.14
	3.21	3.36	2.19
	3.2	3.2	2.05
	3.28	3.54	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.83)	3.35 ↑ (3.1)	2.1 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartlepool United
28.7%

Draw
27.5%

Bolton Wanderers
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

29.1%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

21.3%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hartlepool United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolton Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.9%	21.9%	56.2%

Hartlepool United - Bolton Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 7 - 21.9%). Bolton will win (votes: 18 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 21.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 39.1% – 73.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Hartlepool is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bolton is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bolton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bolton will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English League Two
01.01.22	Hartlepool United - Oldham Athletic	0:0 ✺
26.12.21	Mansfield Town - Hartlepool United	3:2 ✺
11.12.21	Hartlepool United - Scunthorpe United	0:0 ✺
08.12.21	Hartlepool United - Rochdale	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.12.21	Lincoln City - Hartlepool United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TLTWW
- Bolton Wanderers
English League One
01.01.22	Rotherham United - Bolton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
11.12.21	Accrington Stanley - Bolton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
07.12.21	Fleetwood Town - Bolton Wanderers	3:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.11.21	Bolton Wanderers - Fleetwood Town	1:0 ✺
English League One
27.11.21	Bolton Wanderers - Cheltenham Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWT

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