Match Info

National League - Round 24

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Victoria Park (Hartlepool)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hartlepool United		Scunthorpe United

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.9
	2.2	3.45	2.98
	2.25	3.74	2.79	Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.88
	2.19	3.35	2.91
	2.3	3.6	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.03)	3.47 ↓ (3.72)	2.88 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartlepool United
41.4%

Draw
26.5%

Scunthorpe United
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

25%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

25.6%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Scunthorpe United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hartlepool United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Hartlepool United - Scunthorpe United Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Scunthorpe will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Scunthorpe (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Evans G. (G) 2. Benn J. 5. Kouogun M. 4. Parkes T. (C) 3. John C. 14. Sheron N. 35. Nathaniel-George A. 10. Campbell A. 18. Miley J. 15. Hunter J. 19. Reid A.	38. Mahady R. (G) 21. Starbuck J. 10. Roberts C. 6. Boyce A. (C) 3. Horton B. 25. Westbrooke Z. 11. Rowley J. 33. Denton T. 16. Sellars-Fleming T. 9. Whitehall D. 17. Ewing O.
Substitutes
24. Brown P. 11. Charman L. 28. Daly M. 22. Darcy C. 8. Ferguson N. 9. Johnson D. 40. Smith A. (G)	44. Barrows R. 4. Belehouan J. 18. Brogan M. 7. Howe D. 12. Jones L. (G) 20. Scales K. 14. Ubaezuonu C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Reid A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, Roberts C. (Penalty Awarded),
52', John C. 🟨,
54', Nathaniel-George A. ↓, Charman L. ↑,
63', Sellars-Fleming T. 🟨,
65', Hunter J. ↓, Daly M. ↑,
70', 0 - 2, Roberts C. ⚽,
71', Whitehall D. ↓, Howe D. ↑,
71', Sellars-Fleming T. ↓, Ubaezuonu C. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Daly M. ⚽,
88', Ewing O. ↓, Barrows R. ↑,
90', Mahady R. 🟨,
90+7', Roberts C. ↓, Scales K. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 1.

Hartlepool has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Scunthorpe is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Hartlepool is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Hartlepool won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Hartlepool United - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.74%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English National League
21.12.25	Braintree Town - Hartlepool United	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Hartlepool United - Anstey Nomads	1:2 ✺
English National League
06.12.25	Hartlepool United - Yeovil Town	0:2 ✺
29.11.25	Hartlepool United - Truro City	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Eastleigh - Hartlepool United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLLWW
- Scunthorpe United
English National League
20.12.25	Woking - Scunthorpe United	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Scunthorpe United - Peterborough Sports	5:0 ✺
English National League
06.12.25	Scunthorpe United - Tamworth	3:1 ✺
English National League Cup
02.12.25	Scunthorpe United - Newcastle United U21	2:0 ✺
English National League
29.11.25	Altrincham - Scunthorpe United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.07.24	Hartlepool United - Scunthorpe United	2:1
English League Two
30.04.22	Scunthorpe United - Hartlepool United	1:1
11.12.21	Hartlepool United - Scunthorpe United	0:0
01.02.14	Hartlepool United - Scunthorpe United	0:0
26.10.13	Scunthorpe United - Hartlepool United	1:0
English League One
23.02.13	Scunthorpe United - Hartlepool United	1:2
01.09.12	Hartlepool United - Scunthorpe United	2:0

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