Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 11

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday

Location: Memorial Stadium (Bristol)

Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)


	Bristol Rovers		Port Vale

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	4
	1.95	3.5	3.6
	1.95	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.99	3.57	3.95
	1.95	3.6	3.6
	1.95	3.62	3.66	Watch
	1.97	3.5	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.02)	3.56 ↑ (3.44)	3.74 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol Rovers
48.3%

Draw
26.5%

Port Vale
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

27.2%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

27.1%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	26.7%	13.3%

Bristol Rovers - Port Vale Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Port Vale will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Cox M. (G) 42. Hunt J. 17. Taylor C. 4. Grant J. (C) 19. Vale H. 23. McCormick L. 15. Woods R. 22. Bogarde L. 20. Brown J. 18. Martin C. 10. Collins A.	1. Ripley C. (G) 6. Smith N. (C) 2. Cass L. 27. Debrah J. 4. Sang T. 18. Arblaster O. 14. Ojo F. 21. Plant J. 11. Devine A. 19. Massey G. 8. Garrity B.
Substitutes
21. Evans A. 28. Gibbons J. 3. Gordon L. 35. Hall M. (G) 30. Hoole L. 7. Sinclair S.	5. Balmer K. 15. Grant C. 13. Leutwiler J. (G) 16. Lowe J. 44. Thomas J. 24. Walters R. 29. Wilson J.
Coaches
Barton J.	Crosby A.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Bristol Rovers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Port Vale have a series of home games.

Bristol Rovers will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rovers
English League One
30.09.23	Peterborough United - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Bristol Rovers - Wigan Athletic	4:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
19.09.23	Bristol Rovers - West Ham United U21	1:3 ✺
English League One
16.09.23	Shrewsbury Town - Bristol Rovers	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.09.23	Bristol Rovers - Cheltenham Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLWW
- Port Vale
English League One
30.09.23	Port Vale - Bolton Wanderers	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
26.09.23	Port Vale - Sutton United	2:1 ✺
English League One
23.09.23	Cambridge United - Port Vale	1:1 ✺
19.09.23	Port Vale - Burton Albion	2:3 ✺
16.09.23	Port Vale - Northampton Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
22.04.23	Port Vale - Bristol Rovers	2:0
10.12.22	Bristol Rovers - Port Vale	1:0
English League Two
18.04.22	Port Vale - Bristol Rovers	1:3
07.12.21	Bristol Rovers - Port Vale	1:2
English EFL Trophy
22.01.19	Bristol Rovers - Port Vale	3:0
English League One
18.02.17	Port Vale - Bristol Rovers	1:1
24.09.16	Bristol Rovers - Port Vale	2:1

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