Match Info

League Two - Round 18

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Memorial Stadium (Bristol)

Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)


	Bristol Rovers		Notts County

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.2	2.45
	2.88	3.2	2.42
	2.92	3.35	2.5
	2.92	3.33	2.31	Watch
	2.84	3.25	2.42	Watch
	2.85	3.25	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (2.92)	3.26 ↓ (3.33)	2.43 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol Rovers
32.6%

Draw
28.7%

Notts County
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

27.9%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

27.2%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Bristol Rovers - Notts County Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Notts County will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Southwood L. (G) 28. Negru S. 12. Lockyer T. (C) 6. Mola C. 23. Southam-Hales M. 24. Chang A. 14. Cotterill J. 3. Sparkes J. 7. Forde S. 11. Thomas L. 19. Harrison E.	1. Roos K. (G) 28. Macari L. 5. Platt M. 4. Bedeau J. (C) 25. Tsaroulla N. 20. Robertson S. 14. Iorpenda T. 47. Bennetts K. 11. Grant C. 26. Hall T. 29. Jatta A.
Substitutes
29. Cavegn F. 22. Conteh K. 30. Issaka F. 35. Lopata K. 20. McEachran J. . Morton C. 13. Young B. (G)	19. Dennis M. 2. Gordon K. 21. Griffiths H. (G) 17. Kouhyar Q. 12. Ness L. 8. Norburn O. 7. Traore M.
Coaches
Clarke D.	Paterson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Robertson S. 🟨,
32', Bennetts K. 🟨,
34', Harrison E. 🟨,
35', Hall T. 🟥,
41', Southam-Hales M. ↓, Issaka F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Forde S. ↓, McEachran J. ↑,
51', Negru S. ↓, Cavegn F. ↑,
53', Jatta A. 🟨,
68', Jatta A. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
68', Iorpenda T. ↓, Norburn O. ↑,
69', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Ness L. ↑,
86', Harrison E. ↓, Morton C. ↑,
86', Grant C. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
86', Bennetts K. ↓, Gordon K. ↑,
86', 0 - 1, Dennis M. ⚽, Gordon K. (A),
89', Gordon K. 🟨,
90+4', Mola C. 🟨,
90+5', Norburn O. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent performances by Bristol Rovers have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Notts County is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Kilgour A. (Inactive) Lopata K. (Inactive) McEachran J. (Inactive) Omochere P. (Injury)

There will not play in Notts County: Gordon K. (Knee Injury) Luker J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Chang A. (Injury) Senior J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Notts County: McDonald R. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Bristol Rovers - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 31.84%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rovers
English League Two
22.11.25	Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers	3:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle	1:0 ✺
English League Two
08.11.25	Bristol Rovers - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Bromley - Bristol Rovers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWLW
- Notts County
English League Two
22.11.25	Notts County - Colchester United	1:3 ✺
15.11.25	Notts County - Harrogate Town	1:1 ✺
10.11.25	Cheltenham Town - Notts County	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
04.11.25	Notts County - Manchester United U21	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Brackley Town - Notts County	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
03.11.17	Notts County - Bristol Rovers	4:2
English League Two
05.03.16	Notts County - Bristol Rovers	0:2
20.10.15	Bristol Rovers - Notts County	0:0

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