The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Scunthorpe United 30.5%
Draw 28.3%
Bristol Rovers 41.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31%
28.4%
40.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.3%
21.4%
53.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Scunthorpe United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bristol Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Scunthorpe United - Bristol Rovers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 15).
Scunthorpe has the most likely position - 24 (60.37%), has project points - 35, has currently - 19, has a good chance of relegated (83%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Bristol Rovers has the most likely position - 14 (7.95%), has project points - 64, has currently - 30, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (17%), has a small chance of promoted (9%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Scunthorpe is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Bristol Rovers is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Bristol Rovers will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Scunthorpe won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Scunthorpe won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.