Match Info

League One - Round 39

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Memorial Stadium (Bristol)

Referee: Tallis S. (Eng)


	Bristol Rovers		Mansfield Town

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.5	1.9	Watch
	3	3.3	2.25
	4	3.5	1.9	Watch
	3.95	3.5	1.9	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.3
	3.9	3.5	1.9	Watch
	4	3.5	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (3.17)	3.44 ↑ (3.41)	2.01 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol Rovers
25.6%

Draw
27.4%

Mansfield Town
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

27.5%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

27.1%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	6.7%	33.3%

Bristol Rovers - Mansfield Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Mansfield will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ward J. (G) 2. Senior J. 5. Wilson J. (C) 17. Taylor C. 25. Swinkels S. 37. Shaw K. 14. Sawyers R. 8. Ward G. 28. Forde S. 10. Sotiriou R. 24. O'Donkor G.	1. Pym C. (G) 4. Hewitt E. 23. Oshilaja A. 6. Cargill B. 3. McLaughlin S. 25. Reed L. (C) 7. Akins L. 44. Boateng H. 17. Baccus K. 30. Vickers C. 11. Evans W.
Substitutes
26. Butcher M. 43. Dewsbury O. 35. Hall M. (G) 32. Hunt J. 19. Hutchinson I. 4. Moore T. 7. Sinclair S.	9. Bowery J. 41. Dwyer D. 13. Flinders S. (G) 14. Flint A. 5. Kilgour A. 8. Lewis A. 29. Rhodes J.
Coaches
Calderon I.	Clough N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Vickers C. ⚽, Evans W. (A),
12', Oshilaja A. 🟨,
21', Boateng H. 🟨,
26', 1 - 1, Sawyers R. ⚽, Forde S. (A),
32', Boateng H. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
43', Reed L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vickers C. ↓, Dwyer D. ↑,
59', 1 - 2, Dwyer D. ⚽, Baccus K. (A),
70', Sawyers R. ↓, Butcher M. ↑,
70', Senior J. ↓, Hunt J. ↑,
70', Forde S. ↓, Sinclair S. ↑,
70', Ward G. ↓, Hutchinson I. ↑,
71', Hewitt E. ↓, Bowery J. ↑,
82', Evans W. ↓, Flint A. ↑,
82', Reed L. ↓, Kilgour A. ↑,
86', O'Donkor G. ↓, Dewsbury O. ↑,
89', Baccus K. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Bristol Rovers could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mansfield will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Conteh K. (Knee Injury) Omochere P. (Injury)

There will not play in Mansfield: Blake-Tracy F. (Inactive) Gregory L. (Inactive) Oates R. (Inactive) Quinn B. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Martin C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Mansfield: Craig M. (Inactive) MacDonald C. (Inactive) Maris G. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:5 (average 0.9:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rovers
English League One
22.03.25	Crawley Town - Bristol Rovers	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Lincoln City - Bristol Rovers	5:0 ✺
11.03.25	Bristol Rovers - Bolton Wanderers	3:2 ✺
08.03.25	Bristol Rovers - Huddersfield Town	1:0 ✺
04.03.25	Shrewsbury Town - Bristol Rovers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 LLWWT
- Mansfield Town
English League One
15.03.25	Mansfield Town - Barnsley	2:1 ✺
11.03.25	Exeter City - Mansfield Town	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Stevenage Borough - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
04.03.25	Mansfield Town - Wigan Athletic	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Burton Albion - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
23.11.24	Mansfield Town - Bristol Rovers	0:1
English League Two
12.02.22	Bristol Rovers - Mansfield Town	0:0
07.08.21	Mansfield Town - Bristol Rovers	2:1
12.03.16	Bristol Rovers - Mansfield Town	1:0
17.10.15	Mansfield Town - Bristol Rovers	1:2
03.05.14	Bristol Rovers - Mansfield Town	0:1
12.10.13	Mansfield Town - Bristol Rovers	1:1

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