Match Info

National League - Round 44

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Brunton Park (Carlisle)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Argentina	DAZN
Australia	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Colombia	DAZN
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
India	DAZN
Indonesia	DAZN
Kazakhstan	DAZN
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	DAZN
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	DAZN
Russia	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN
South-korea	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Ukraine	DAZN
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Uzbekistan	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN
Vietnam	DAZN


	Carlisle United		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.1	5
	1.58	4.15	4.75
	1.6	4.33	4.98
	1.63	4.22	4.57	Watch
	1.6	3.9	4.75
	1.59	4.14	5.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.68)	4.14 ↑ (3.97)	4.85 ↑ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlisle United
58.3%

Draw
22.5%

Sutton United
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

23.4%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

22.2%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+1%)

Carlisle United - Sutton United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Breeze G. (G) 18. Ellis J. 5. Feeney M. (C) 4. Thomas T. 12. Galvin R. 37. Macadam H. 8. Whelan C. 7. Ajiboye D. 16. Wearne S. 10. Linney R. 9. Kelly G.	1. Sims J. (G) 50. Donkor K. 26. Eccleston J. 23. Harris J. J. 39. Topalloj B. 42. Muller H. 25. Taylor J. (C) 40. Ruiz R. 48. Francis J. 8. Simper L. 34. Njoku B.
Substitutes
2. Davies A. 3. Harper C. 13. Mair A. (G) 26. Mugabi B. 22. Williams J. 23. Wyke Ch. 25. Yeboah E.	51. Byron T. 47. Eze D. 13. Haigh Ch. (G) 18. Ogbonna D. 14. Pruti E. 9. Rodari D. 36. Urpens D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
8', Simper L. 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Macadam H. ⚽, Kelly G. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Macadam H. ⚽, Whelan C. (A),
28', Taylor J. 🟨,
41', 3 - 0, Galvin R. ⚽, Linney R. (A),
44', Ruiz R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Whelan C. 🟨,
61', Francis J. ↓, Ogbonna D. ↑,
63', Ajiboye D. 🟨,
63', Donkor K. ↓, Urpens D. ↑,
65', Urpens D. 🟨,
74', Harris J. J. 🟨,
77', Ajiboye D. ↓, Yeboah E. ↑,
77', Whelan C. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
78', Kelly G. ↓, Wyke Ch. ↑,
83', Topalloj B. ↓, Byron T. ↑,
85', Linney R. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
85', Galvin R. ↓, Harper C. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).

Carlisle is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sutton is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Carlisle is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Carlisle will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlisle won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Carlisle won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Sutton	13	5	3	5	14:18	-4	18
14	Carlisle	13	4	5	4	23:20	3	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlisle United
English National League
06.04.26	Morecambe - Carlisle United	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Carlisle United - Gateshead	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Braintree Town - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Halifax Town - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Carlisle United - Boston United	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTWWW
- Sutton United
English National League
06.04.26	Sutton United - Southend United	0:3 ✺
03.04.26	Aldershot Town - Sutton United	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Sutton United - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Eastleigh - Sutton United	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Sutton United - Truro City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
30.08.25	Sutton United - Carlisle United	2:1
English League Two
08.05.23	Sutton United - Carlisle United	1:1
03.12.22	Carlisle United - Sutton United	1:1
29.01.22	Carlisle United - Sutton United	0:2
25.09.21	Sutton United - Carlisle United	4:0

Carlisle United - Sutton United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide