Match Info

Date: 5 February 2022, Saturday


	Sutton United		Bristol Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3.5
	2.1	3.2	3.5
	2.05	3.4	3.65
	2.16	3.1	3.4
	2.18	3.26	3.74
	2.1	3.3	3.4
	2.23	3.48	3.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.01)	3.28 ↓ (3.53)	3.52 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
44.3%

Draw
28.8%

Bristol Rovers
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

27.2%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

17.9%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sutton United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bristol Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sutton United - Bristol Rovers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs) and 12).

Sutton has the most likely position - 3 (12.7%), has project points - 75, has currently - 47, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (41%), has a chance of promoted (34%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Bristol Rovers has the most likely position - 12 (8.71%), has project points - 67, has currently - 36, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (21%), has a small chance of promoted (11%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Sutton will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sutton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English League Two
29.01.22	Carlisle United - Sutton United	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
25.01.22	Sutton United - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
English League Two
22.01.22	Sutton United - Northampton Town	0:0 ✺
18.01.22	Sutton United - Colchester United	3:2 ✺
15.01.22	Stevenage Borough - Sutton United	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWTWT
- Bristol Rovers
English League Two
29.01.22	Bristol Rovers - Walsall	1:0 ✺
25.01.22	Scunthorpe United - Bristol Rovers	2:3 ✺
22.01.22	Swindon Town - Bristol Rovers	1:1 ✺
15.01.22	Bristol Rovers - Hartlepool United	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
08.01.22	Peterborough United - Bristol Rovers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
04.12.21	Bristol Rovers - Sutton United	2:1

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