Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 16

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Hayes Lane (London)

Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Bromley		Carlisle United

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	3.8	Watch
	1.93	3.5	3.7
	1.95	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.94	3.67	3.85
	1.94	3.58	3.69	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.9
	1.93	3.62	3.69	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.15)	3.58 ↑ (3.36)	3.77 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bromley
48.7%

Draw
26.3%

Carlisle United
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

27.7%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

27.1%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bromley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bromley's performance.

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bromley than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Bromley - Carlisle United Predictions

Users Predictions: Bromley will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smith G. (G) 5. Sowunmi O. 17. Webster B. (C) 16. Grant K. 25. Imray D. 20. Arthurs J. 32. Thompson B. 30. Odutayo I. 22. Congreve C. 11. Dennis L. 9. Cheek M.	13. Breeze G. (G) 26. Barclay B. 5. Lavelle S. (C) 22. Mellish J. 37. Burey T. 8. Guy C. 3. Harper C. 20. Williams B. 24. Sadi D. 40. Harris K. 14. Adu Adjei D.
Substitutes
19. Amantchi L. 8. Leigh L. 12. Long S. (G) 29. Olomola O. 2. Reynolds C. 44. Thomas J. 23. Topalloj B.	29. Armstrong L. 15. Charters T. 18. Ellis J. 1. Lewis H. (G) 21. McGeouch D. 19. Robinson J. 16. Vela J.
Coaches
Woodman A.	Williamson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Guy C. 🟨,
43', Mellish J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Burey T. 🟨,
54', 1 - 0, Cheek M. (Pen),
58', Thompson B. 🟨,
66', Williams B. ↓, Charters T. ↑,
67', Mellish J. ↓, Vela J. ↑,
67', Burey T. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
67', Charters T. 🟨,
70', Congreve C. ↓, Leigh L. ↑,
77', Dennis L. ↓, Olomola O. ↑,
83', Leigh L. 🟥,
83', Lavelle S. 🟨,
85', Harper C. ↓, Armstrong L. ↑,
90', Sadi D. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 1, Adu Adjei D. ⚽, Lavelle S. (A),
90+7', Barclay B. 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Bromley have a series of guest games.

In this match Bromley is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bromley FC
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Charlton Athletic - Bromley	1:0 ✺
English League Two
09.11.24	Cheltenham Town - Bromley	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Rochdale - Bromley	3:4 ✺
English League Two
26.10.24	Bromley - Barrow	1:1 ✺
22.10.24	Doncaster Rovers - Bromley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LTWTW
- Carlisle United
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Morecambe - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
English League Two
09.11.24	Salford City - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Carlisle United - Wigan Athletic	0:2 ET ✺
English League Two
26.10.24	Carlisle United - Cheltenham Town	0:1 ✺
22.10.24	Walsall - Carlisle United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLLL

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