The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brown de Adrogué 41.9%
Draw 32.4%
Sportivo Dock Sud 25.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.2%
30.8%
31.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.1%
29.8%
30.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Sportivo Dock Sud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Dock Sud might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Dock Sud than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Brown de Adrogué - Sportivo Dock Sud Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Giovini S. (G) 6. Aguirre C. 7. Baldunciel L. 4. Bogado J. 8. Castano A. 3. Guerrero B. 11. Lopez B. 9. Meaurio N. 10. Noble M. 5. Robles E. 2. Sanchez L.
1. Tello T. (G) 11. Arriola B. 3. Barreiro A. 5. Chamorro T. 2. Gauna M. 10. Gomez G. 7. Gualtieri G. 4. Guerrero N. 6. Lopez N. 8. Perrone H. 9. Vivas S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Gualtieri G. 🟨,
45', Gualtieri G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Meaurio N. ↓, Baez B. ↑,
46', Perrone H. ↓, Otero F. ↑,
56', Vivas S. ↓, Arias D. ↑,
60', Noble M. ↓, Sproat M. ↑,
66', Guerrero B. 🟨,
70', Sanchez L. 🟨,
71', Gomez G. ↓, Perez R. ↑,
76', Castano A. 🟨,
77', Castano A. ↓, Galeano V. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Baez B. ⚽,
82', Venetucci V. ↓, Eichhorn O. ↑,
82', Chamorro T. ↓, Villordo T. ↑,
84', Lopez B. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
90+3', Giovini S. 🟨,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 20th and 12th).
In recent outings, Brown de Adrogué has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Dock Sud has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Brown de Adrogué may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Brown de Adrogué has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:2 (averaging 1.7:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Brown de Adrogué against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.