Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 20

Date: 9 August 2024, Friday

Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol)

Referee: Klein M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, TV Brasil, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Amazon Prime Video


	Mirassol		Brusque

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.7	6.25	Watch
	1.53	3.6	6
	1.57	3.6	6.5
	1.58	3.69	7.04
	1.6	3.52	6.45	Watch
	1.53	3.6	6.5
	1.57	3.64	6.53	Watch
	1.57	3.6	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.53)	3.62 ↑ (3.45)	6.47 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
59.7%

Draw
25.9%

Brusque
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

25.9%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

25.3%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Mirassol - Brusque Predictions

Users Predictions: Mirassol will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Alex Muralha (G) 19. Lucas Ramon 34. Joao Victor 4. Luiz Otavio 37. Zeca 25. Neto Moura 8. Danielzinho 10. Chico Kim 27. Gabriel (C) 7. Fernandinho 49. Dellatorre	1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 2. Everton Alemao 3. Ianson 4. Wallace (C) 15. Ronei 5. Rodolfo Potiguar 19. Marcos Serrato 66. Alex Ruan 11. Diego Tavares 17. Guilherme Queiroz 94. Paulinho Moccelin
Substitutes
2. Alex Silva 16. Bruno Matias 44. Henri 14. Isaque 20. Joao Pedro 99. Leo Gamalho 3. Lucas Gazal 98. Marquinhos 6. PH 9. Quirino 32. Rodrigo Andrade 1. Vanderlei (G)	22. Cristovam 10. Dentinho 27. Diego Mathias 7. Dionisio 35. Georgemy (G) 8. Jhemerson 21. Luiz Henrique 33. Madison 28. Mauricio Ribeiro 20. Robinho 29. Wellissol
Coaches
Mozart	Luizinho Vieira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Dellatorre ⚽, Luiz Otavio (A),
36', 2 - 0, Lucas Ramon ⚽,
45+3', Everton Alemao 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ronei ↓, Madison ↑,
61', Rodolfo Potiguar ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
69', Dellatorre ↓, Leo Gamalho ↑,
74', Neto Moura ↓, Rodrigo Andrade ↑,
74', Gabriel ↓, Alex Silva ↑,
78', Madison 🟨,
79', Diego Tavares ↓, Dentinho ↑,
79', Alex Ruan ↓, Cristovam ↑,
79', Mauricio Ribeiro ↓, Robinho ↑,
85', Fernandinho ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
85', Chico Kim ↓, Isaque ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Mirassol is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Brusque is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Mirassol is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie B
05.08.24	Chapecoense - Mirassol	0:1 ✺
27.07.24	Mirassol - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
23.07.24	Mirassol - Avaí	0:0 ✺
19.07.24	Coritiba - Mirassol	0:1 ✺
12.07.24	Ponte Preta - Mirassol	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWTWL
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie B
02.08.24	Brusque - América Mineiro	0:0 ✺
28.07.24	Guarani - Brusque	1:0 ✺
24.07.24	Brusque - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
21.07.24	Botafogo SP - Brusque	2:2 ✺
14.07.24	Chapecoense - Brusque	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
23.04.24	Brusque - Mirassol	3:1

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