Match Info

Date: 9 July 2022, Saturday

Location: Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas)

Referee: Goncalves Lima J. (Bra)


	Guarani		Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.8	3.1	1.98
	4	2.95	1.94
	3.85	3.15	1.95
	4.37	3.38	1.96
	4	3.2	1.95
	4.1	3.4	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↑ (3.78)	3.2 ↑ (2.9)	1.95 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani
23.2%

Draw
29.1%

Cruzeiro
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

31.9%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

31.6%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.4%	25.7%	62.9%

Guarani - Cruzeiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Guarani will win (votes: 4 - 11.4%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 22 - 62.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 25.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 46.9% – 78.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Recent matches Guarani is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cruzeiro is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guarani could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cruzeiro will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Guarani won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Guarani won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie B
02.07.22	CRB Maceio - Guarani	1:1 ✺
28.06.22	Guarani - Ituano	0:2 ✺
24.06.22	Londrina - Guarani	3:1 ✺
19.06.22	Guarani - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
12.06.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Guarani	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TLLTW
- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie B
05.07.22	Ituano - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
01.07.22	Cruzeiro - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
28.06.22	Cruzeiro - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
23.06.22	Fluminense - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
16.06.22	Cruzeiro - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
29.09.21	Guarani - Cruzeiro	1:1
30.06.21	Cruzeiro - Guarani	3:3

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