Match Info

Date: 19 July 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque)

Referee: De Oliveira F. (Bra)


	Brusque		Grêmio

	1	X	2
	3.9	2.9	2.05
	3.7	2.88	2.08
	3.85	2.9	2.05
	4.36	3.01	2.11
	3.5	2.9	2.1
	4.15	2.97	2.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↑ (3.21)	2.93 ↑ (2.8)	2.08 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
23.7%

Draw
31.7%

Grêmio
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

33.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

31.6%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brusque's form might have worsened.

Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grêmio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brusque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grêmio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.9%	53.8%	28.2%

Brusque - Grêmio Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Brusque will win (votes: 7 - 17.9%). Grêmio will win (votes: 11 - 28.2%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.2% – 69.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Recent matches Brusque is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grêmio is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Grêmio will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Brusque: Diego Jardel (Injury) Ianson (Injury) Sandro (Injury)

There will not play in Grêmio: Edilson (Injury) Elkeson C. (Injury) Kannemann W. (Injury) Phelipe (Thigh Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie B
16.07.22	CRB Maceio - Brusque	1:1 ✺
06.07.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Brusque	1:0 ✺
01.07.22	Brusque - Operário Ferroviario	2:0 ✺
28.06.22	Brusque - Bahia	0:2 ✺
25.06.22	Sport Recife - Brusque	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLWLT
- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie B
16.07.22	Grêmio - Tombense	3:0 ✺
08.07.22	Grêmio - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
03.07.22	Bahia - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
28.06.22	Grêmio - Londrina	1:0 ✺
23.06.22	CS Alagoano - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWTWT

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