Match Info

Date: 28 June 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque)

Referee: De Oliveira F. (Bra)


	Brusque		Bahia

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.65	2.7
	2.85	2.7	2.63
	2.9	2.65	2.75
	3.09	2.78	2.86
	3	2.6	2.75
	2.93	2.78	2.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.75)	2.69 ↓ (2.8)	2.75 (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
31.6%

Draw
34.5%

Bahia
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

32.9%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

34.4%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.6%	57.1%	22.2%

Brusque - Bahia Predictions

Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Brusque will win (votes: 13 - 20.6%). Bahia will win (votes: 14 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 36 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.9% – 69.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Bahia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Bahia have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie B
25.06.22	Sport Recife - Brusque	0:0 ✺
17.06.22	Criciúma - Brusque	0:1 ✺
11.06.22	Brusque - Ituano	0:1 ✺
07.06.22	Vila Nova - Brusque	0:2 ✺
04.06.22	Brusque - Náutico Capibaribe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 TWLWL
- EC Bahia
Brazilian Serie B
25.06.22	Bahia - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.06.22	Bahia - Athletico Paranaense	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
14.06.22	Bahia - Chapecoense	0:1 ✺
11.06.22	Operário Ferroviario - Bahia	0:1 ✺
08.06.22	Bahia - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLWW

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