Match Info

Date: 16 July 2022, Saturday

Location: Arena do Grêmio (Porto Alegre)

Referee: Henrique M. (Bra)


	Grêmio		Tombense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.3	4.8	9.75
	1.26	4.7	10.5
	1.29	4.7	9.6
	1.31	5.13	12.56
	1.3	4.75	10
	1.31	5	10.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.49)	4.85 ↑ (3.6)	10.49 ↑ (9.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio
71.9%

Draw
19.2%

Tombense
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

26.4%

10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

28.7%

9.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grêmio's performance.

Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Grêmio - Tombense Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Tombense will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 54.1% – 91.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 6).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Tombense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Grêmio is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Grêmio: Benitez M. (Injury) Edilson (Injury) Elkeson C. (Injury) Kannemann W. (Injury) Phelipe (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Tombense: Ednei (Injury) Igor Henrique (Injury) Rodrigues L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Tombense: Roger Carvalho (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Grêmio to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie B
08.07.22	Grêmio - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
03.07.22	Bahia - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
28.06.22	Grêmio - Londrina	1:0 ✺
23.06.22	CS Alagoano - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
18.06.22	Grêmio - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWTW
- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie B
09.07.22	Tombense - Chapecoense	2:1 ✺
03.07.22	Ponte Preta - Tombense	0:0 ✺
29.06.22	CRB Maceio - Tombense	0:0 ✺
26.06.22	Tombense - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1 ✺
18.06.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Tombense	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WTTTW

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