Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 13

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping


	Brusque		Retrô Brasil

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	2.85	4.1
	1.92	2.82	4.15	Watch
	1.99	2.88	4.8
	2	2.7	4
	1.91	2.78	4.66	Watch
	1.82	3.1	4.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.8)	2.86 ↓ (3.13)	4.36 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
47.3%

Draw
31.8%

Retrô Brasil
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

29.1%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

24.5%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Retrô Brasil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Brusque - Retrô Brasil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 50. Bernardo 27. Diego Mathias 2. Everton Alemao (C) 23. Guilherme Pira 6. Italo 19. Joao Veras 97. Mateus Pivo 28. Mauricio Ribeiro 16. Roberto Rosa 8. Thomaz	12. Fabian Volpi (G) 25. Eduardo 7. Fabinho 18. Franco R. 28. Joao Lucas 30. Maycon Douglas 27. Mike 4. Rayan Ribeiro 3. Robson Reis 21. Rodolfo 19. Vagner Love
Substitutes
15. Alex Paulino 22. Andre Luiz (G) 48. Caio Gomes 39. Carlos Biro 17. Clinton U. 11. Luizao 91. Luizinho 77. Neto 99. Robinho 10. Robinho 29. Thiago Freitas	16. Danillo 1. Darley (G) 14. Felipe Ferreira 20. Gledson 6. Gustavo Salomao 11. Junior Fialho 26. Ly I. 9. Mascote 29. Mendonca 23. Paulo Gianezini (G) 15. Rayne Assis 5. Romulo
Coaches
Franco B.	Schulle I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Vagner Love ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Maycon Douglas ↓, Felipe Ferreira ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Rayan Ribeiro (Own goal),
59', 1 - 2, Felipe Ferreira ⚽,
61', 🟨,
62', 🟨,
66', Mike ↓, Gustavo Salomao ↑,
69', Joao Veras ↓, Luizao ↑,
69', Roberto Rosa ↓, Robinho ↑,
71', Eduardo ↓, Mendonca ↑,
72', Rodolfo 🟨,
76', Fabinho ↓, Ly I. ↑,
76', Rodolfo ↓, Junior Fialho ↑,
79', Italo 🟨,
81', Vagner Love 🟨,
83', Italo ↓, Luizinho ↑,
83', Luizinho 🟨,
84', Joao Lucas 🟨,
88', Thomaz ↓, Neto ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Retrô may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Brusque is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Brusque won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie C
14.07.25	Maringá - Brusque	0:2 ✺
06.07.25	Brusque - Figueirense	0:2 ✺
30.06.25	Floresta - Brusque	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Brusque - Tombense	0:0 ✺
01.06.25	Confiança - Brusque	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLTL
- Retrô Brasil
Brazilian Serie C
14.07.25	Retrô Brasil - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
05.07.25	Ituano - Retrô Brasil	2:0 ✺
28.06.25	Retrô Brasil - Londrina	0:4 ✺
14.06.25	Anápolis - Retrô Brasil	0:0 ✺
31.05.25	Retrô Brasil - Guarani	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
17.03.21	Retrô Brasil - Brusque	1:0

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