Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 10

Date: 30 June 2025, Monday

Location: Domingão (Horizonte)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Floresta		Brusque

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	2.65	2.8
	2.68	2.68	2.78	Watch
	2.5	2.78	3.28
				Watch
	2.62	2.5	2.9
	2.48	2.67	3.11	Watch
	2.68	2.68	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.48)	2.66 ↓ (3.1)	2.94 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Floresta
35.1%

Draw
34.1%

Brusque
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

29.4%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

28.9%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Floresta - Brusque Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Floresta will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Brusque will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Floresta (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dalton (G) 8. Guilherme Nunes 27. Gustavo Ramos 31. Icaro (C) 9. Jeam 2. Mateus Ludke 28. Pablo 6. Rafael Furlan 30. Romarinho 13. Thomas Kayck 3. Vitao	1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 7. Biel Fonseca 48. Caio Gomes 27. Diego Mathias 2. Everton Alemao (C) 23. Guilherme Pira 30. Jean Mangabeira 19. Joao Veras 28. Mauricio Ribeiro 10. Robinho 4. Torres J.
Substitutes
22. Cesar (G) 16. Davi Castro 12. Dheimison (G) 17. Diego Matos 18. Guilherme Martineli 10. Gustavo Xuxa 15. Igor Dutra 4. Julio Vaz 20. Marco Antonio 29. Rodrigo 19. Rubens 21. Vitinho	15. Alex Paulino 66. Alex Ruan 22. Andre Luiz (G) 50. Bernardo 17. Clinton U. 6. Italo 91. Luizinho 97. Mateus Pivo 16. Roberto Rosa 99. Robinho 18. Thomaz

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Diego Mathias ⚽, Robinho (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Jeam ↓, Rubens ↑,
55', Gustavo Ramos ↓, Gustavo Xuxa ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Icaro ⚽, Rafael Furlan (A),
63', Robinho ↓, Clinton U. ↑,
63', Joao Veras ↓, Alex Paulino ↑,
71', Torres J. 🟨,
74', 2 - 1, Vitao ⚽,
75', Jean Mangabeira ↓, Robinho ↑,
75', Guilherme Pira ↓, Thomaz ↑,
78', Romarinho ↓, Guilherme Martineli ↑,
80', Mauricio Ribeiro 🟨,
85', Rafael Furlan ↓, Diego Matos ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Floresta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Floresta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie C
16.06.25	CS Alagoano - Floresta	2:0 ✺
31.05.25	Floresta - Itabaiana	1:0 ✺
25.05.25	Ituano - Floresta	0:0 ✺
17.05.25	Floresta - Guarani	0:0 ✺
11.05.25	Botafogo PB - Floresta	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1 LWTTW
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie C
15.06.25	Brusque - Tombense	0:0 ✺
01.06.25	Confiança - Brusque	4:1 ✺
26.05.25	Brusque - São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
20.05.25	Athletico Paranaense - Brusque	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
17.05.25	Ponte Preta - Brusque	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
24.06.23	Brusque - Floresta	2:0

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