Match Info

AFC Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Chuncheon Songam Stadium (Chuncheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2
Australia	Paramount+
China	iQIYI
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Israel	Sport 4
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Pakistan	Tapmad
Russia	TV Start
South-korea	Coupang Play
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Gangwon		Machida Zelvia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.15	Watch
	4.15	3	1.95	Watch
	4.76	3.13	1.96
	4.63	2.95	1.97	Watch
	4.33	2.8	1.95
	5.08	3.05	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↑ (3.28)	3.03 ↓ (3.15)	1.98 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gangwon
21.5%

Draw
31%

Machida Zelvia
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

29.6%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gangwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gangwon's form might have worsened.

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Machida Zelvia's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	26.7%	46.7%

Gangwon - Machida Zelvia Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Gangwon will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Park Cheong-Hyo (G) 47. Shin Min-Ha 24. Park H. 34. Song Jun-Seok 42. Mo Jae-Hyeon 11. Goh Young-Jun 4. Seo Min-Woo 13. Lee Gi-Hyuk (C) 28. Lee Seung-Won 99. Kang Joon-Hyuck 19. Park Sang-Hyeok	1. Tani K. (G) 3. Shoji G. (C) 6. Mochizuki H. 50. Okamura D. 19. Nakayama Y. 88. Nakamura H. 18. Shimoda H. 16. Mae H. 10. Na Sang-Ho 7. Soma Y. 99. Yengi T.
Substitutes
96. Choe Byeong-Chan 80. Hleihel A. 20. Jo Hyun-Tae 8. Kang Y. 7. Kim Dae-Won 27. Kim Do-Hyun 91. Kim Jung-Hoon (G) 50. Lee E. 25. Lee H. 39. Lee Ji-Ho 97. Lee You-Hyeon 23. Tuci M.	44. Arai Y. (G) 5. Dresevic I. 9. Fujio S. 26. Hayashi K. 49. Kuwayama K. 31. Lavi N. 11. Masuyama A. 13. Morita T. (G) 20. Nishimura T. 8. Sento K. 23. Shirasaki R. 34. Tokumura F.
Coaches
Chung Kyung-Ho	Kuroda G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Nakamura H. 🟨,
31', Seo Min-Woo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Mo Jae-Hyeon 🟨,
59', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Nishimura T. ↑,
59', Yengi T. ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
60', Park Sang-Hyeok ↓, Hleihel A. ↑,
71', Goh Young-Jun ↓, Kim Dae-Won ↑,
71', Mo Jae-Hyeon ↓, Kang Y. ↑,
81', Seo Min-Woo ↓, Lee You-Hyeon ↑,
81', Song Jun-Seok ↓, Kim Do-Hyun ↑,
86', Shimoda H. ↓, Lavi N. ↑,
86', Nakamura H. ↓, Hayashi K. ↑,
90+1', Soma Y. ↓, Kuwayama K. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Machida Zelvia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Machida Zelvia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Machida Zelvia might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gangwon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Including home match between the teams, Gangwon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Machida Zelvia - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.98%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gangwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
28.02.26	Ulsan HD - Gangwon	3:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
18.02.26	Melbourne City - Gangwon	0:0 ✺
11.02.26	Gangwon - Shanghai Port	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.01.26	Partizan - Gangwon	Canceled ✺
AFC Champions League
09.12.25	Buriram United - Gangwon	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTT?T
- Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League
27.02.26	Machida Zelvia - JEF United Chiba	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia	3:2 penalties ✺
AFC Champions League
17.02.26	Machida Zelvia - Chengdu Rongcheng	3:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
14.02.26	Machida Zelvia - Mito HollyHock	3:2 penalties ✺
AFC Champions League
10.02.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Machida Zelvia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
25.11.25	Gangwon - Machida Zelvia	1:3

Upcoming Matches