The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Burnley 69.2%
Draw 19.5%
Rotherham United 11.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.7%
23%
17.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.8%
22.6%
16.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Burnley's performance.
Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rotherham United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burnley that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rotherham United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
78.8%
3.8%
17.3%
Burnley - Rotherham United Predictions
Users Predictions:
Burnley will win
(41 of 52 users predict this - 78.85%). Confidence interval (95%): 67.75% – 89.95%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 13).
Burnley has the most likely position - 1 (30.02%), has project points - 82, has currently - 35, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (34%), has a good chance of promoted (56%), has a chance of win league (30%).
Rotherham has the most likely position - 24 (17.85%), has project points - 49, has currently - 22, has a chance of relegated (44%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality39, importance51, match rating45. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Burnley in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Rotherham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Rotherham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Burnley is absolute favorite.
There will not play in Burnley: Churlinov D.
(Injury)
Twine S.
(Injury)
Westwood A.
(Broken Leg)
There will not play in Rotherham: Bola T.
(Injury)
Kioso P.
(Injury)
Ogbene C.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Burnley: Cullen J.
(Injury)
Our prediction for today's Burnley to win the game is with odds 1.39.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Burnley won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Burnley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
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