Match Info
Date: 29 October 2022, SaturdayLocation: Turf Moor (Burnley)Referee: Simpson J. (Eng)
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 |
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 |
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Burnley |
|
Reading |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.61 |
4 |
5.5 |
|
 |
1.65 |
3.8 |
5.25 |
|
 |
1.65 |
3.95 |
5.55 |
|
 |
1.6 |
3.95 |
5.2 |
|
 |
1.66 |
4 |
5.56 |
|
 |
1.63 |
3.7 |
5.25 |
|
 |
1.64 |
3.95 |
5.35 |
 Watch |
 |
1.65 |
3.9 |
5.2 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↑
(1.6) |
3.91 ↓
(4.01) |
5.36 ↑
(5.23) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Burnley
58% | Draw
24.3% | Reading
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+1.8%)The ML Model estimate for Reading aligns with the current prediction.Predictions
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 18 - 66.7%). Reading will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 48.9% – 84.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 8).Burnley has the most likely position - 1 (30.06%), has project points - 82, has currently - 32, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (34%), has a good chance of promoted (55%), has a chance of win league (30%).Reading has the most likely position - 17 (6.02%), has project points - 60, has currently - 25, has a small chance of relegated (12%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).This event has quality 45, importance 41, match rating 43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com) Burnley in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4). Reading is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Burnley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. In this match Burnley is a favorite.There will not play in Burnley: Churlinov D.
(Injury)
Cork J.
(Yellow Cards)
Twine S.
(Injury)
Westwood A.
(Broken Leg)There will not play in Reading: Azeez F.
(Injury)
Baba A.
(Injury)
Dann S.
(Injury)
Moore L.
(Injury)
Sarr M.
(Injury)There are questionable in Burnley: Cullen J.
(Injury)There are questionable in Reading: Hutchinson S.
(Injury) Our prediction for today's Burnley to win the game is with odds 1.65.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Burnley won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6. Including matches at home between the teams Burnley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English League Championship | | | 13.02.16 | Reading - Burnley | 0:0 | | 26.09.15 | Burnley - Reading | 1:2 | | 03.05.14 | Reading - Burnley | 2:2 | | 05.10.13 | Burnley - Reading | 2:1 | | 17.02.12 | Reading - Burnley | 1:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
