The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Burnley 58%
Draw 24.3%
Reading 17.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.7%
23.4%
18%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.8%
23%
17.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
The ML Model estimate for Reading aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
22.2%
11.1%
Burnley - Reading Predictions
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 18 - 66.7%). Reading will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 48.9% – 84.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 8).
Burnley has the most likely position - 1 (30.06%), has project points - 82, has currently - 32, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (34%), has a good chance of promoted (55%), has a chance of win league (30%).
Reading has the most likely position - 17 (6.02%), has project points - 60, has currently - 25, has a small chance of relegated (12%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality45, importance41, match rating43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Burnley in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Reading is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Burnley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Burnley is a favorite.
There will not play in Burnley: Churlinov D.
(Injury)
Cork J.
(Yellow Cards)
Twine S.
(Injury)
Westwood A.
(Broken Leg)
There will not play in Reading: Azeez F.
(Injury)
Baba A.
(Injury)
Dann S.
(Injury)
Moore L.
(Injury)
Sarr M.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Burnley: Cullen J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Reading: Hutchinson S.
(Injury)
Our prediction for today's Burnley to win the game is with odds 1.65.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Burnley won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Burnley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
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