The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Burnley 48.3%
Draw 27.4%
Swansea City 24.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51%
27.7%
21.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
26.9%
20.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
6.7%
26.7%
Burnley - Swansea City Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Swansea will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 39.2% – 89.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Trafford J. (G) 14. Roberts C. 6. Egan-Riley C. 5. Esteve M. 23. Lucas Pires 8. Brownhill J. 24. Cullen J. 11. Anthony J. 7. Sarmiento J. 30. Koleosho L. 19. Flemming Z.
22. Vigouroux L. (G) 2. Key J. 5. Cabango B. 6. Darling H. 14. Tymon J. 8. Grimes M. (C) 17. Franco G. 25. Peart-Harris M. 7. Allen J. 35. Ronald 9. Vipotnik Z.
Substitutes
48. Agyei E. 39. Dodgson O. 16. Egan J. 32. Hladky V. (G) 37. Hountondji A. 12. Humphreys B. 29. Laurent J. 28. Mejbri H. 9. Rodriguez J.
32. Abbey N. 47. Abdulai A. 19. Bianchini F. 23. Christie C. 20. Cullen L. 33. McLaughlin J. (G) 26. Naughton K. 3. Pedersen K. 21. Tjoe a On N.
Coaches
Parker S.
Williams L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Cullen J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Ronald 🟨,
62', Allen J. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
62', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Bianchini F. ↑,
68', Lucas Pires ↓, Humphreys B. ↑,
68', Koleosho L. ↓, Agyei E. ↑,
78', Peart-Harris M. ↓, Naughton K. ↑,
78', Flemming Z. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
78', Sarmiento J. ↓, Mejbri H. ↑,
78', Cullen J. ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
85', Ronald ↓, Christie C. ↑,
86', Cullen L. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. (Pen),
90+6', Cabango B. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Burnley won 3.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Swansea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Burnley have a series of guest games.
In this match Burnley is a favorite.
There will not play in Burnley: Beyer J.
(Thigh Injury)
Delcroix H.
(Muscle Injury)
Ekdal H.
(Muscle Injury)
Foster L.
(Knee Injury)
Manuel Hedilazio B.
(Calf Injury)
Ramsey A.
(Knee Injury)
Redmond N.
(Muscle Injury)
Tresor Ndayishimiye M.
(Leg Injury)
Worrall J.
(Foot Injury)
There will not play in Swansea: Eom J.
(Knee Injury)
Fisher A.
(Groin Injury)
Ginnelly J.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Burnley won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.3:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Burnley won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1.5:0.5).
Hungary
Usa
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Trafford J. (G) 
Roberts C. 
Esteve M. 
Lucas Pires 
Cullen J. 
Sarmiento J. 
Koleosho L. 
Flemming Z. 
Vigouroux L. (G) 
Franco G. 
Vipotnik Z. 
Agyei E. 
Hladky V. (G) 
Hountondji A. 
Mejbri H. 
Abdulai A. 
Pedersen K. 
Tjoe a On N. 
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