Match Info

Premier League - Round 24

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday

Location: Stadium of Light (Sunderland)

Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sunderland		Burnley

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.3	4.33
	1.75	3.7	4.75
	2	3.25	4.3
	2	3.35	4.52
	1.84	3.49	4.99	Watch
	1.85	3.25	4.2
	1.95	3.44	4.73	Watch
	1.92	3.25	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.72)	3.38 ↓ (3.8)	4.54 ↓ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
50.5%

Draw
28.4%

Burnley
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

25.2%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

24.3%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sunderland's form might have worsened.

Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sunderland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.2%	14.7%	19.1%

Sunderland - Burnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. Sunderland will win (votes: 45 - 68.2%). Burnley will win (votes: 12 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 57% – 79.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Sunderland (1.39) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -0.5 - Sunderland (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sunderland (1.23) (votes: 3 - 60%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -0.5 - Burnley (4.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sunderland will win (50 of 56 users predict this - 89.29%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 68 Selected Experts predict this event. Sunderland (votes: 59 - 86.8%). Burnley (votes: 5 - 7.4%). Tie (votes: 4 - 5.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Roefs R. (G) 20. Mukiele N. 5. Ballard D. 15. Alderete O. 17. Mandava R. 27. Sadiki N. 19. Diarra H. 32. Hume T. (C) 28. Le Fee E. 7. Talbi C. 9. Brobbey B.	1. Dubravka M. (G) 6. Tuanzebe A. 5. Esteve M. 12. Humphreys B. 2. Walker K. (C) 8. Ugochukwu L. 16. Florentino 23. Lucas Pires 10. Edwards M. 11. Anthony J. 9. Foster L.
Substitutes
3. Cirkin D. 6. Geertruida L. 18. Isidor W. 51. Jones J. 12. Mayenda E. 21. Moore S. (G) 14. Mundle R. 13. O'Nien L. 11. Rigg C.	27. Broja A. 7. Bruun Larsen J. 19. Flemming Z. 29. Laurent J. 28. Mejbri H. 17. Tchaouna L. 20. Ward-Prowse J. 13. Weiss M. (G) 4. Worrall J.
Coaches
Le Bris R.	Parker S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Tuanzebe A. (Own goal),
32', 2 - 0, Diarra H. ⚽,
45', Ugochukwu L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tuanzebe A. ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
63', Foster L. ↓, Broja A. ↑,
63', Florentino ↓, Flemming Z. ↑,
67', Dubravka M. 🟨,
67', Hume T. 🟨,
69', Edwards M. ↓, Tchaouna L. ↑,
70', Anthony J. 🟨,
72', 3 - 0, Talbi C. ⚽, Mandava R. (A),
80', Talbi C. ↓, Mundle R. ↑,
80', Brobbey B. ↓, Isidor W. ↑,
80', Diarra H. ↓, Geertruida L. ↑,
80', Anthony J. ↓, Bruun Larsen J. ↑,
86', Alderete O. ↓, O'Nien L. ↑,
90+1', Walker K. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Sunderland has had a series of away games.

In this match, Sunderland is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Sunderland: Bi J. T. (Injury) Traore B. (Knee Injury) Xhaka G. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Thigh Injury) Cullen J. (Knee Injury) Roberts C. (Groin Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sunderland won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Sunderland: 0.15%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6:10	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English Premier League
24.01.26	West Ham United - Sunderland	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Sunderland - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Everton - Sunderland	1:2 penalties ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Brentford - Sunderland	3:0 ✺
04.01.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LWWLT
- Burnley FC
English Premier League
24.01.26	Burnley - Tottenham Hotspur	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Liverpool - Burnley	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Burnley - Millwall	5:1 ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Burnley - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
03.01.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Burnley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
23.08.25	Burnley - Sunderland	2:0
English League Championship
17.01.25	Burnley - Sunderland	0:0
24.08.24	Sunderland - Burnley	1:0
31.03.23	Burnley - Sunderland	0:0
22.10.22	Sunderland - Burnley	2:4
English League Cup
28.08.19	Burnley - Sunderland	1:3
English Premier League
18.03.17	Sunderland - Burnley	0:0

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