The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Birmingham City 26.3%
Draw 29%
Burnley 44.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.1%
29.5%
42.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.6%
29%
41.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
17.6%
20.6%
61.8%
Birmingham City - Burnley Predictions
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 6 - 17.6%). Burnley will win (votes: 21 - 61.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 20.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 45.5% – 78.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
Birmingham has the most likely position - 15 (5.45%), has project points - 61, has currently - 19, has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (13%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Burnley has the most likely position - 1 (23.47%), has project points - 79, has currently - 25, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (34%), has a chance of promoted (47%), has a chance of win league (23%).
This event has quality47, importance41, match rating44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 1.
Recent matches Birmingham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Burnley is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Burnley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Burnley will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Birmingham: Friend G.
(Injury)
Gardner G.
(Injury)
Gordon N.
(Injury)
Placheta P.
(Injury)
There will not play in Burnley: Churlinov D.
(Injury)
Long K.
(Injury)
Twine S.
(Injury)
Westwood A.
(Broken Leg)
There are questionable in Birmingham: Roberts M.
(Injury)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Birmingham won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.
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