Match Info

Championship - Round 44

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday

Location: Turf Moor (Burnley)

Referee: Webb D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Usa	CBS, Paramount+
World	Disney+


	Burnley		Sheffield United

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	4.1	Watch
	1.95	3.25	4.1
	1.93	3.35	4.26	Watch
	1.96	3.45	4.43
	1.98	3.32	4.09	Watch
	1.95	3.1	4.2
	1.92	3.4	4.21	Watch
	1.93	3.35	4.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.8)	3.34 ↓ (3.59)	4.21 ↓ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burnley
49%

Draw
28.5%

Sheffield United
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

26.5%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

25.8%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Sheffield United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burnley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield United than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	3.1%	28.1%

Burnley - Sheffield United Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 21 - 67.7%). Sheff Utd will win (votes: 9 - 29%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 51.2% – 84.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Burnley (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Sheff Utd (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.88) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trafford J. (G) 14. Roberts C. 6. Egan-Riley C. 5. Esteve M. 23. Lucas Pires 8. Brownhill J. (C) 24. Cullen J. 22. Edwards M. 28. Mejbri H. 11. Anthony J. 19. Flemming Z.	1. Cooper M. (G) 24. Choudhury H. 15. Ahmedhodzic A. 19. Robinson J. (C) 14. Burrows H. 42. Peck S. 21. Vini Souza 20. Brereton Diaz B. 8. Hamer G. 28. Cannon T. 9. Moore K.
Substitutes
34. Banel J. 35. Barnes A. 32. Hladky V. (G) 30. Koleosho L. 29. Laurent J. 15. Redmond N. 7. Sarmiento J. 2. Sonne O. 4. Worrall J.	7. Brewster R. 23. Campbell T. 17. Davies A. (G) 2. Gilchrist A. 5. Holding R. 3. McCallum S. 10. O'Hare C. 11. Rak-Sakyi J. 38. Seriki F.
Coaches
Parker S.	Wilder C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
27', Hamer G. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Brownhill J. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Cannon T. ⚽, Hamer G. (A),
44', 2 - 1, Brownhill J. (Pen),
45+1', Robinson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Cannon T. ↓, Campbell T. ↑,
60', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Rak-Sakyi J. ↑,
62', Edwards M. ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
67', Lucas Pires 🟨,
74', Vini Souza ↓, Seriki F. ↑,
75', Burrows H. ↓, McCallum S. ↑,
79', Mejbri H. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
81', Peck S. ↓, Brewster R. ↑,
88', Brownhill J. ↓, Worrall J. ↑,
88', Flemming Z. ↓, Barnes A. ↑,
90+6', Brewster R. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Burnley won 4.

Burnley in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sheff Utd is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Burnley is a favorite.

There will not play in Burnley: Agyei E. (Muscle Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Manuel Hedilazio B. (Ankle Injury) Ramsey A. (Knee Injury) Shelvey J. (Leg Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Injury)

There will not play in Sheff Utd: Arblaster O. (Knee Injury) Norrington-Davies R. (Groin Injury) Sachdev S. (Broken Leg)

There are questionable in Burnley: Humphreys B. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Sheff Utd: Davies T. (Muscle Injury) Hamer G. (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Burnley won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:12 (average 1.9:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Burnley won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:2 (average 2.2:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burnley FC
English League Championship
18.04.25	Watford - Burnley	1:2 ✺
11.04.25	Burnley - Norwich City	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Derby County - Burnley	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Coventry City - Burnley	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Burnley - Bristol City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTWW
- Sheffield United
English League Championship
18.04.25	Sheffield United - Cardiff City	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Plymouth Argyle - Sheffield United	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Sheffield United - Millwall	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Oxford United - Sheffield United	1:0 ✺
28.03.25	Sheffield United - Coventry City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
26.12.24	Sheffield United - Burnley	0:2
English Premier League
20.04.24	Sheffield United - Burnley	1:4
02.12.23	Burnley - Sheffield United	5:0
English League Championship
10.04.23	Burnley - Sheffield United	2:0
05.11.22	Sheffield United - Burnley	5:2
English Premier League
23.05.21	Sheffield United - Burnley	1:0
29.12.20	Burnley - Sheffield United	1:0

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