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Current Win Probability
Coventry City 28.3%
Draw 29.5%
Burnley 42.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33%
29.5%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.2%
29.7%
37.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coventry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
5.6%
83.3%
Coventry City - Burnley Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Coventry will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Burnley will win (votes: 15 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 66.1% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.25 - Burnley (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Burnley will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Burnley (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Collins B. (G) 27. van Ewijk M. 4. Thomas B. 15. Kitching L. 3. Dasilva J. 6. Grimes M. 8. Allen J. (C) 7. Sakamoto T. 5. Rudoni J. 10. Mason-Clark E. 11. Wright H.
1. Trafford J. (G) 14. Roberts C. 6. Egan-Riley C. 5. Esteve M. 23. Lucas Pires 22. Edwards M. 24. Cullen J. 29. Laurent J. 11. Anthony J. 8. Brownhill J. (C) 17. Foster L.
Substitutes
21. Bidwell J. 2. Binks L. 17. Borges Rodrigues R. 22. Latibeaudiere J. 12. Paterson J. 14. Sheaf B. 9. Simms E. 29. Torp V. 13. Wilson B. (G)
35. Barnes A. 19. Flemming Z. 32. Hladky V. (G) 30. Koleosho L. 28. Mejbri H. 15. Redmond N. 7. Sarmiento J. 2. Sonne O. 4. Worrall J.
Coaches
Lampard F.
Parker S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Wright H. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Anthony J. ⚽, Foster L. (A),
18', Kitching L. 🟨,
19', Brownhill J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 1 - 2, Anthony J. ⚽,
69', Edwards M. ↓, Flemming Z. ↑,
70', Egan-Riley C. 🟨,
74', Allen J. ↓, Torp V. ↑,
76', Brownhill J. ↓, Mejbri H. ↑,
82', Sakamoto T. ↓, Simms E. ↑,
84', Mejbri H. 🟨,
88', Foster L. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
90+1', van Ewijk M. 🟨,
90+7', Laurent J. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Recent matches Coventry is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Burnley in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Burnley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Coventry: Dovin O.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Burnley: Agyei E.
(Muscle Injury)
Beyer J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Humphreys B.
(Hip Injury)
Ramsey A.
(Knee Injury)
Shelvey J.
(Leg Injury)
There are questionable in Coventry: Kitching L.
(Illness)
Thomas-Asante B.
(Groin Injury)
Last 4 head-to-head matches Coventry won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Coventry won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1