The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Exeter City 23.2%
Draw 23.5%
Stockport County 53.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.9%
26.9%
46.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.4%
25.4%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stockport County's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
27.3%
54.5%
Exeter City - Stockport County Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Stockport will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 25.1% – 83.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Bycroft J. (G) 2. McMillan J. 40. James E. 26. Sweeney P. (C) 21. Andrew D. 45. Cummins C. 29. McDonald K. 14. Niskanen I. 12. Cole R. 7. Mendes C. 9. Wareham J.
34. Addai C. (G) 12. Dixon R. 19. Wootton K. 15. Pye E. 14. Edun T. 26. Norwood O. (C) 23. Osborn B. 7. Diamond J. 11. Mothersille M. 28. Stokes J. 29. Sidibeh A.
Substitutes
10. Aitchison J. 6. Brierley E. 17. Higgins A. 27. Magennis J. 32. Phillips F. (G) 28. Tuterov T. 20. Woodhouse L.
27. Bailey O. 20. Barry L. 4. Bate L. 18. Fiorini L. 45. Grogan C. 1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 9. Olaofe T.
Coaches
Taylor M.
Challinor D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Mothersille M. ⚽,
16', Edun T. 🟨,
29', 0 - 2, Stokes J. ⚽, Mothersille M. (A),
35', 1 - 2, Cole R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Edun T. ↓, Bailey O. ↑,
56', McDonald K. ↓, Brierley E. ↑,
60', Sidibeh A. ↓, Olaofe T. ↑,
60', Mothersille M. ↓, Barry L. ↑,
62', Mendes C. ↓, Tuterov T. ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Tuterov T. ⚽, Niskanen I. (A),
71', Stokes J. ↓, Fiorini L. ↑,
75', Cummins C. ↓, Aitchison J. ↑,
75', James E. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
75', Cole R. ↓, Woodhouse L. ↑,
77', 2 - 3, Bailey O. ⚽,
90+4', Diamond J. ↓, Bate L. ↑,
90+6', 3 - 3, Bycroft J. ⚽, Andrew D. (A),
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
Exeter has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Stockport is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Exeter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Stockport is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Exeter: Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
Doyle-Hayes J.
(Injury)
Fitzwater J.
(Inactive)
Turns E.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Stockport: Andresson B.
(Injury)
Camps C.
(Inactive)
Connolly C.
(Injury)
Hills B.
(Inactive)
Hoskonen A.
(Muscle Injury)
Onyango T.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Exeter: Whitworth J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Stockport: Dacres-Cogley J.
(Inactive)
Olowu J.
(Inactive)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, Exeter won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Watch
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Bycroft J. (G) 
McMillan J. 
James E. 
Sweeney P. (C) 
Niskanen I. 
Mendes C. 
Addai C. (G) 
Norwood O. (C) 
Sidibeh A. 
Tuterov T. 
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