Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL Trophy

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Pirelli Stadium (Burton upon Trent)


	Burton Albion		Notts County

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.75
	2.15	3.4	2.75
	2.25	3.5	2.85
	2.23	3.65	2.9
	2.27	3.57	2.91	Watch
	2.23	3.58	2.88
	2.25	3.5	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.24)	3.53 ↑ (3.45)	2.84 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burton Albion
41.5%

Draw
26.1%

Notts County
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

26.5%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

27.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Burton Albion - Notts County Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Isted H. (G) 21. Bannon A. (C) 20. Sraha J. 19. Williams D. 14. Akoto N. 25. Gilligan C. 23. Bran Flores A. J. 7. Kalinauskas T. 49. Donovan R. 22. Larsson J. 18. Burrell R.	21. Slocombe S. (C) 24. Cundy R. 3. McDonald R. 23. Chicksen A. 6. Hinchy J. 44. Cisse M. 8. Austin S. 40. Reynolds R. 2. Gordon K. 14. Brown J. 11. Grant C.
Substitutes
16. Cooper-Love J. 1. Crocombe M. (G) 2. Godwin-Malife U. 9. Orsi-Dadomo D. 15. Vancooten T. 4. Watt E. 34. Whitfield B.	. Adiefeh D. 1. Bass A. (G) 28. Macari L. . Muir K. 18. Palmer M. 43. Sanderson J. 25. Tsaroulla N.
Coaches
Robinson M.	Maynard S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Bran Flores A. J. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Gordon K. ⚽, Reynolds R. (A),
39', Gordon K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', McDonald R. ↓, Macari L. ↑,
46', Grant C. ↓, Sanderson J. ↑,
54', 0 - 2, Austin S. ⚽,
56', Gordon K. ↓, Tsaroulla N. ↑,
58', Cisse M. 🟨,
62', Bran Flores A. J. ↓, Watt E. ↑,
63', Larsson J. ↓, Whitfield B. ↑,
75', Reynolds R. ↓, Adiefeh D. ↑,
82', Bannon A. ↓, Cooper-Love J. ↑,
82', Burrell R. ↓, Vancooten T. ↑,
82', Donovan R. ↓, Orsi-Dadomo D. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Whitfield B. ⚽, Williams D. (A),
88', Brown J. ↓, Muir K. ↑,
88', Orsi-Dadomo D. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Burton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Notts County is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Burton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burton Albion
English League One
21.09.24	Burton Albion - Barnsley	1:2 ✺
14.09.24	Rotherham United - Burton Albion	2:2 ✺
31.08.24	Northampton Town - Burton Albion	0:0 ✺
24.08.24	Burton Albion - Stevenage Borough	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
20.08.24	Burton Albion - Leicester City U21	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTTTW
- Notts County
English League Two
21.09.24	Notts County - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
14.09.24	Bromley - Notts County	2:4 ✺
07.09.24	Notts County - Accrington Stanley	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Swindon Town - Notts County	1:2 ✺
22.08.24	Notts County - Grimsby Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
03.09.13	Notts County - Burton Albion	1:0

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