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Current Win Probability
Notts County 46.9%
Draw 28.1%
Gillingham 25%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.3%
26.8%
27%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.9%
25.4%
25.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
47.1%
23.5%
29.4%
Notts County - Gillingham Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Gillingham will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 25.5% – 74.5%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Notts County (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Notts County will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Notts County (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Gillingham (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Belshaw J. (G) 28. Macari L. 5. Platt M. 4. Bedeau J. (C) 17. Kouhyar Q. 8. Norburn O. 20. Robertson S. 25. Tsaroulla N. 26. Hall T. 14. Iorpenda T. 19. Dennis M.
1. Morris G. (G) 15. Akomeah T. 30. Gale S. 39. Beckles O. 3. Clark M. 8. Little A. (C) 14. McKenzie R. 6. Coleman E. 12. Palmer-Houlden S. 38. Hale R. 9. Andrews J.
Substitutes
47. Bennetts K. 22. Enoru B. 11. Grant C. 21. Griffiths H. (G) 39. Ndlovu L. 12. Ness L. 10. Tangen H.
36. Antwi C. 23. Dack B. 2. Hutton R. 7. McCleary G. 11. Rowe A. 25. Turner J. (G) 19. Vokes S.
Coaches
Paterson M.
Ainsworth G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Robertson S. ⚽, Norburn O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Andrews J. 🟨,
63', Andrews J. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
63', Palmer-Houlden S. ↓, McCleary G. ↑,
63', Macari L. ↓, Ness L. ↑,
64', Hall T. ↓, Ndlovu L. ↑,
71', McKenzie R. ↓, Dack B. ↑,
71', Gale S. ↓, Hutton R. ↑,
76', Ness L. 🟨,
80', Dennis M. ↓, Bennetts K. ↑,
81', Dack B. 🟨,
86', Beckles O. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 2.
In recent matches, Notts County has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Gillingham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Notts County could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Notts County: Luker J.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Gillingham: McCleary G.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Notts County: Palmer M.
(Inactive)
Robertson S.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Gillingham: Khumbeni N.
(Inactive)
Williams E.
(Shoulder Injury)
Wyllie M.
(Inactive)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
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Belshaw J. (G) 
Macari L. 
Bedeau J. (C) 
Kouhyar Q. 
Tsaroulla N. 
Hale R. 
Bennetts K. 
Enoru B. 
Grant C. 
Ndlovu L. 
Tangen H. 
McCleary G. 
Vokes S. 
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