Match Info

League Two - Round 24

Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Meadow Lane (Nottingham)

Referee: Kennard-Kettle Z. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Notts County		Accrington Stanley

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.5	4.5
	1.88	3.4	4
	1.78	3.55	4.25
	1.78	3.71	4.23	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.33
	1.77	3.53	4.54	Watch
	1.77	3.75	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.69)	3.55 ↓ (3.68)	4.3 ↓ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notts County
52.1%

Draw
26.2%

Accrington Stanley
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

24.9%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

24.2%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	7.7%	0%

Notts County - Accrington Stanley Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Notts County (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Notts County will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roos K. (G) 28. Macari L. 5. Platt M. 4. Bedeau J. 17. Kouhyar Q. 26. Hall T. 8. Norburn O. 14. Iorpenda T. 25. Tsaroulla N. 29. Jatta A. 19. Dennis M.	13. Wright O. (G) 2. Love D. 17. Matthews D. 14. Ward B. 38. O'Brien C. 6. Coyle L. 10. Henderson A. 30. Heath I. 7. Whalley S. 39. Woods J. 11. Sinclair I.
Substitutes
47. Bennetts K. 2. Gordon K. 11. Grant C. 21. Griffiths H. (G) 6. Hinchy J. 10. Jones J. 12. Ness L.	20. Brown C. 18. Caton C. 28. Conneely S. 1. Kelly M. (G) 8. Madden P. 3. Sass F.
Coaches
Paterson M.	Doolan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Henderson A. 🟨,
16', Platt M. 🟨,
35', Woods J. 🟨,
45+3', Jatta A. 🟨,
45+3', Whalley S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Kouhyar Q. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
57', Jatta A. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
67', Henderson A. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
70', Love D. 🟨,
71', Hall T. ↓, Bennetts K. ↑,
71', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Gordon K. ↑,
72', 0 - 1, Whalley S. ⚽, Love D. (A),
79', Woods J. ↓, Conneely S. ↑,
87', Macari L. ↓, Ness L. ↑,
88', Heath I. ↓, Sass F. ↑,
90', Bedeau J. 🟨,
90+4', Iorpenda T. 🟨,
90+6', Dennis M. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Notts County is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Notts County: Luker J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Accrington: Hall C. (Inactive) Mooney K. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Notts County: Palmer M. (Inactive) Robertson S. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Accrington: Bauress J. (Inactive) Coyle L. (Injury) Madden P. (Inactive) Walton T. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Accrington: 0.97%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Accrington	9	2	4	3	13:14	-1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notts County
English League Two
29.12.25	Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Chesterfield - Notts County	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Notts County - Walsall	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Grimsby Town - Notts County	0:2 ✺
09.12.25	Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TLTWW
- Accrington Stanley
English League Two
29.12.25	Accrington Stanley - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Accrington Stanley - Barrow	2:1 ✺
19.12.25	Cambridge United - Accrington Stanley	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Accrington Stanley - Bromley	0:1 ✺
09.12.25	Harrogate Town - Accrington Stanley	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
18.01.25	Accrington Stanley - Notts County	0:3
07.09.24	Notts County - Accrington Stanley	2:0
16.03.24	Accrington Stanley - Notts County	2:2
02.09.23	Notts County - Accrington Stanley	3:1
02.04.18	Accrington Stanley - Notts County	1:0
25.08.17	Notts County - Accrington Stanley	2:2
04.02.17	Accrington Stanley - Notts County	2:0

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