Match Info

League One - Round 32

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Pirelli Stadium (Burton upon Trent)

Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)


	Burton Albion		Stockport County

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.2	3.3	2.15
	3.25	3.35	2.12	Watch
	3.36	3.3	2.16	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.15
	3.23	3.38	2.17	Watch
	3.66	3.5	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↓ (3.66)	3.35 ↓ (3.38)	2.12 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burton Albion
28.3%

Draw
27.8%

Stockport County
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

27.1%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

26.5%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Stockport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stockport County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.3%	5.3%	68.4%

Burton Albion - Stockport County Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Stockport will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Burton (votes: 1 - 50%). Stockport (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Burton (2.22) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Burton (votes: 2 - 50%). Stockport (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Collins B. (G) 2. Godwin-Malife U. (C) 5. Vancooten T. 6. Sibbick T. 15. Lofthouse K. 4. Chauke K. 12. Evans G. 16. Hartridge A. 7. McKiernan J. J. 9. Beesley J. 10. Shade T.	1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 5. Olowu J. 33. Hills B. 15. Pye E. 2. Dacres-Cogley J. 26. Norwood O. (C) 27. Bailey O. 23. Osborn B. 7. Diamond J. 19. Wootton K. 9. Olaofe T.
Substitutes
29. Adom K. 42. Cannon A. 27. Dudek K. (G) 41. Krubally S. 22. Larsson J. 18. Moon J. 11. Tavares F.	34. Addai C. (G) 4. Bate L. 12. Dixon R. 3. Dodgson O. 11. Mothersille M. 29. Sidibeh A. 28. Stokes J.
Coaches
Bowyer G.	Challinor D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Hills B. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Cannon A. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Shade T. ⚽, Godwin-Malife U. (A),
54', Olowu J. ↓, Dodgson O. ↑,
54', Olaofe T. ↓, Sidibeh A. ↑,
55', Bailey O. ↓, Stokes J. ↑,
55', 2 - 0, Evans G. ⚽, Hartridge A. (A),
61', Pye E. 🟨,
64', 3 - 0, Shade T. ⚽, Beesley J. (A),
70', Sidibeh A. 🟨,
75', Norwood O. ↓, Bate L. ↑,
81', Bate L. 🟨,
84', Lofthouse K. 🟨,
85', Shade T. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,
85', Diamond J. ↓, Mothersille M. ↑,
90+1', Lofthouse K. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
90+1', Beesley J. ↓, Adom K. ↑,
90+2', Chauke K. ↓, Krubally S. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, Burton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stockport is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Stockport could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Burton: Jones J. (Foot Injury) Webster C. (Injury)

There will not play in Stockport: Connolly C. (Injury) Hoskonen A. (Muscle Injury) Onyango T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Burton: Delap F. (Inactive) Revan S. (Injury) Vancooten T. (Inactive) Williams D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Stockport: Andresson B. (Inactive) Edun T. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Burton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Burton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Outrights of English League One for now

Stockport County: 23.3% Burton: 0.63%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Stockport County	9	5	1	3	20:11	9	16
10	Burton	10	3	3	4	14:16	-2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burton Albion
English League One
21.02.26	Luton Town - Burton Albion	1:1 ✺
17.02.26	Burton Albion - Rotherham United	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
14.02.26	Burton Albion - West Ham United	0:1 ET ✺
English League One
07.02.26	Port Vale - Burton Albion	2:2 ✺
03.02.26	Burton Albion - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWLTL
- Stockport County
English League One
21.02.26	Stockport County - Wigan Athletic	4:2 ✺
17.02.26	Bradford City - Stockport County	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.02.26	Port Vale - Stockport County	0:4 ✺
English League One
07.02.26	Stockport County - Leyton Orient	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Stockport County - Plymouth Argyle	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
23.08.25	Stockport County - Burton Albion	2:1
29.03.25	Stockport County - Burton Albion	2:1
23.11.24	Burton Albion - Stockport County	0:3

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