The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Port Vale 28.2%
Draw 26.1%
Stockport County 45.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.5%
27.9%
38.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.2%
27.6%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Port Vale's form might have worsened.
Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stockport County's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stockport County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8.3%
8.3%
83.3%
Port Vale - Stockport County Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Stockport will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 62.2% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Stockport (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Stockport (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Stockport (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Amos B. (G) 4. Heneghan B. (C) 35. Magloire T. 27. Campbell E. 6. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 12. Walters R. 26. Shipley J. 15. Gordon L. 19. Waine B. 45. Gray A. 10. Brown D.
34. Addai C. (G) 12. Dixon R. 5. Olowu J. 15. Pye E. 14. Edun T. 24. Onyango T. 26. Norwood O. 4. Bate L. (C) 11. Mothersille M. 9. Olaofe T. 29. Sidibeh A.
Substitutes
46. Gauci J. (G) 5. Hall C. 33. Hall G. 3. Headley J. 50. Hernandez O. 9. Stockley J. 28. Ward G.
27. Bailey O. 7. Diamond J. 3. Dodgson O. 48. Gardner C. 33. Hills B. 1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 19. Wootton K.
Coaches
Brady J.
Challinor D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Edun T. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Sidibeh A. ⚽, Mothersille M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Gordon L. ↓, Headley J. ↑,
46', Gray A. ↓, Stockley J. ↑,
46', Brown D. ↓, Hall G. ↑,
59', 0 - 2, Sidibeh A. ⚽, Norwood O. (A),
62', Bate L. ↓, Bailey O. ↑,
62', Dixon R. ↓, Gardner C. ↑,
62', Sidibeh A. ↓, Wootton K. ↑,
62', Onyango T. ↓, Hills B. ↑,
68', Walters R. ↓, Ward G. ↑,
72', Heneghan B. 🟨,
79', Mothersille M. ↓, Diamond J. ↑,
79', Waine B. ↓, Hernandez O. ↑,
81', Shipley J. 🟨,
83', 0 - 3, Norwood O. ⚽,
89', 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 4, Diamond J. ⚽,
Preview
Port Vale is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Stockport is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Stockport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
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Amos B. (G) 
Shipley J. 
Gordon L. 
Waine B. 
Gray A. 
Norwood O. 
Sidibeh A. 
Gauci J. (G) 
Hernandez O. 
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