Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Pirelli Stadium (Burton upon Trent)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Burton Albion		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.1	5.5
	1.58	4.2	5.5
	1.57	4.33	5	Watch
	1.57	4.3	5.31
	1.59	4.11	5.2	Watch
	1.6	4.2	5.5
	1.61	4.2	5.16	Watch
	1.57	4.33	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.46)	4.22 ↓ (4.58)	5.27 ↓ (6.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burton Albion
59.7%

Draw
22.4%

Tamworth
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

20.7%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

20.2%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burton Albion's form might have worsened.

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burton Albion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Burton Albion - Tamworth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Crocombe M. (G) 2. Godwin-Malife U. 15. Vancooten T. 6. Sweeney R. 17. Armer J. 4. Watt E. (C) 33. Chauke K. 7. Kalinauskas T. 16. Cooper-Love J. 11. Bodin B. 9. Orsi-Dadomo D.	1. Singh J. (C) 33. Crompton B. 18. Cullinane-Liburd J. 26. Hollis H. 11. Fairlamb L. 31. Maher R. 15. Morrison G. 4. Tonks T. 14. Williams K. 20. Tshikuna N. 9. Creaney D.
Substitutes
21. Bannon A. 32. Bennett M. 18. Burrell R. 25. Gilligan C. 13. Isted H. (G) 22. Larsson J. 20. Sraha J. 34. Whitfield B. 19. Williams D.	22. Beck-Ray E. 3. Cockerill-Mollett C. 5. Digie K. 6. Fletcher A. 19. McGlinchey T. 8. Milnes B. 21. Phillips L. (G) 25. Wallace K. 12. Wreh C.
Coaches
Hounsell T.	Peaks A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Cullinane-Liburd J. 🟨,
41', Godwin-Malife U. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Williams K. 🟨,
54', Cooper-Love J. ↓, Whitfield B. ↑,
56', Armer J. 🟨,
64', Watt E. 🟨,
74', Tshikuna N. ↓, Fletcher A. ↑,
74', Bodin B. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
80', Armer J. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
80', Chauke K. ↓, Bennett M. ↑,
84', Tonks T. ↓, Milnes B. ↑,
90+4', Williams K. ↓, McGlinchey T. ↑,
90+8', Larsson J. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
91', Kalinauskas T. ↓, Gilligan C. ↑,
92', 1 - 0, Bennett M. ⚽,
94', 1 - 1, Maher R. ⚽,
110', Fletcher A. 🟨,
114', Maher R. ↓, Beck-Ray E. ↑,
114', Creaney D. ↓, Wreh C. ↑,
116', Whitfield B. 🟨,
118', Crompton B. 🟨,
120+2', Beck-Ray E. 🟨,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Orsi-Dadomo D. (Pen),
1, Milnes B. (Pen),
2, Bennett M. (Pen),
2, Fletcher A. (Pen),
3, Whitfield B. (Pen),
3, Crompton B. (Pen),
4, Watt E. (Pen),
4, Morrison G. (Pen),
5, Sweeney R. (Pen),
5, Hollis H. (Pen),

Preview

Recent matches Burton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tamworth is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tamworth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match Burton is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burton Albion
English League One
26.11.24	Burton Albion - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
23.11.24	Burton Albion - Stockport County	0:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Northampton Town - Burton Albion	2:5 ✺
English League One
09.11.24	Burton Albion - Shrewsbury Town	2:0 ✺
05.11.24	Burton Albion - Crawley Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWWT
- Tamworth
English National League
23.11.24	Tamworth - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:1 ✺
English National League Cup
19.11.24	Tamworth - Sunderland U21	1:5 ✺
English National League
16.11.24	Oldham Athletic - Tamworth	4:0 ✺
09.11.24	Tamworth - Ebbsfleet United	1:1 ✺
English National League Cup
05.11.24	Tamworth - Newcastle United U21	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLTL

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