Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 10

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla (Cadiz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 4
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Cádiz		Burgos

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.85	4	Watch
	2.15	2.88	3.7
	2.22	2.88	4.24
	2.20	2.88	3.82	Watch
	2.2	2.88	3.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.17)	2.87 ↓ (3)	3.9 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cádiz
43.3%

Draw
32.6%

Burgos
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

31.7%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

32%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.3%	22.6%	16.1%

Cádiz - Burgos Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Cádiz will win (votes: 19 - 61.3%). Burgos will win (votes: 5 - 16.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 22.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cádiz: 44.2% – 78.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Cádiz (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Burgos (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Cádiz (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Cádiz (votes: 7 - 50%). Burgos (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Aznar V. (G) 20. Carcelen I. 14. Kovacevic B. 6. Ortega I. 33. Pereira R. 12. Tabatadze I. 8. Fernandez A. 15. Ortuno S. 22. Ontiveros J. 11. Suso (C) 23. Pascual A.	13. Cantero A. (G) 2. Lizancos A. 18. Cordoba A. (C) 8. Sierra G. 12. Miguel F. 21. Cordoba I. 23. Morante I. 5. Atienza M. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 9. Nino F. 16. Curro
Substitutes
17. Camara D. 21. Climent M. 19. de la Rosa J. 5. Diakite M. 18. Diarra Y. 34. Diaz Peregrina J. 27. Fernandez P. 1. Gil D. (G) 9. Marti R. 2. Moreno J. 10. Ocampo B. 7. Ugiagbe E.	10. Appin K. 15. Bunuel A. 17. Cantero M. 28. del Cerro S. 31. Garcia F. 35. Gonzalez D. (G) 20. Gonzalez M. 6. Gonzalez S. 22. Martinez B. 7. Mejia M. 1. Ruiz J. (G) 32. Ventosa E.
Coaches
Garitano G.	Ramis L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
16', 1 - 0, Ontiveros J. ⚽, Pascual A. (A),
41', 1 - 1, Sierra G. ⚽, Lizancos A. (A),
45', 1 - 2, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ⚽, Lizancos A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tabatadze I. ↓, Ugiagbe E. ↑,
46', Pereira R. ↓, Climent M. ↑,
46', Pascual A. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
65', Morante I. 🟨,
67', Curro ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
67', Nino F. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
74', Ortuno S. 🟨,
76', Kovacevic B. ↓, Marti R. ↑,
77', Cordoba I. ↓, Appin K. ↑,
78', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
82', Miguel F. 🟨,
84', Camara D. 🟨,
89', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Cantero M. ↑,
90+5', Ontiveros J. ↓, de la Rosa J. ↑,
90+12', Mejia M. 🟨,
90+14', Suso 🟨,
90+15', 1 - 3, Mejia M. (Pen),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).

Cádiz is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Burgos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cádiz might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Cádiz: Fali (Knee Injury) Gonzalez J. (Ankle Injury) Hernandez L. (Knee Injury) de la Rosa J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Burgos: Chapela I. (Muscle Injury) Exposito M. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cádiz won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Cádiz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Burgos - the odds 3.88 are the expected chance of winning is 24.5%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga2
12.10.25	Cádiz - Huesca	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Las Palmas - Cádiz	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Cádiz - Ceuta	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Málaga - Cádiz	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Cádiz - Eibar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLTWW
- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
12.10.25	Burgos - Valladolid	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Huesca - Burgos	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Burgos - Málaga	2:1 ✺
22.09.25	Burgos - Granada	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Sporting de Gijón - Burgos	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
19.04.25	Burgos - Cádiz	2:2
19.12.24	Cádiz - Burgos	1:1

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