Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 26

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla (Cadiz)

Referee: Ortiz M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Cyprus	PrimeTel
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	Canal+ Now
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Cádiz		Celta de Vigo

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.45	Watch
	3.1	3	2.45
	3.2	3.1	2.5	Watch
	3.35	3.05	2.49
	3.32	3.03	2.52
	3	3	2.45
	3.29	3.12	2.56	Watch
	3.2	2.98	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.8)	3.05 ↓ (3.06)	2.5 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cádiz
30%

Draw
31.5%

Celta de Vigo
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

31.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

33.4%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	42.9%	32.1%

Cádiz - Celta de Vigo Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Cádiz will win (votes: 7 - 25%). Celta will win (votes: 9 - 32.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.6% – 61.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ledesma C. (C) 20. Carcelen I. 5. Chust V. 22. Mere J. 15. Hernandez J. 7. Sobrino R. 4. Alcaraz R. 17. Escalante G. 27. Navarro R. 9. Juanmi 25. Gomez M.	25. Guaita V. (G) 22. Manquillo J. 2. Starfelt C. 4. Nunez U. 23. Sanchez M. 9. Allende T. 5. Tapia R. 8. Beltran F. 14. de la Torre L. 10. Aspas I. (C) 18. Larsen J. S.
Substitutes
11. Alejo I. 8. Fernandez A. 13. Gil D. (G) 19. Guardiola S. 12. Kouame R. 18. Machis D. 14. Mbaye M. 10. Ocampo B. 24. Ousou A. 16. Ramos C. 6. Samassekou D. 2. Zaldua J.	17. Bamba J. 26. Carrillo J. B. (G) 11. Cervi F. 28. Dominguez C. 12. Douvikas A. 16. Jailson 3. Mingueza O. 7. Perez C. 30. Sotelo H. 19. Swedberg W. 20. Vazquez K. 13. Villar I. (G)
Coaches
Pellegrino M.	Benitez R.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 2.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Celta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Cádiz won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga
17.02.24	Osasuna - Cádiz	2:0 ✺
09.02.24	Cádiz - Betis	0:2 ✺
04.02.24	Villarreal - Cádiz	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Cádiz - Athletic Bilbao	0:0 ✺
19.01.24	Deportivo Alavés - Cádiz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLTTL
- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
17.02.24	Celta de Vigo - Barcelona	1:2 ✺
11.02.24	Getafe - Celta de Vigo	3:2 ✺
04.02.24	Osasuna - Celta de Vigo	0:3 ✺
28.01.24	Celta de Vigo - Girona	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
23.01.24	Celta de Vigo - Real Sociedad	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
04.12.23	Celta de Vigo - Cádiz	1:1
28.05.23	Cádiz - Celta de Vigo	1:0
02.09.22	Celta de Vigo - Cádiz	3:0
12.02.22	Cádiz - Celta de Vigo	0:0
17.09.21	Celta de Vigo - Cádiz	1:2
18.04.21	Cádiz - Celta de Vigo	0:0
14.12.20	Celta de Vigo - Cádiz	4:0

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