Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 16

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Argentina	DirecTV
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Cyprus	PrimeTel
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	Canal+ Sport 5
Portugal	Eleven Sports 4
Serbia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Cádiz		Osasuna

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.63	Watch
	2.85	3	2.65
	2.9	3.1	2.7	Watch
	3.01	3.06	2.72
	3.01	3.06	2.71
	2.8	3.2	2.45
	2.88	3.15	2.64	Watch
	2.85	3.15	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (2.93)	3.1 ↓ (3.17)	2.65 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cádiz
33.1%

Draw
30.8%

Osasuna
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

29.8%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

29.9%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cádiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Osasuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.4%	59.6%	17%

Cádiz - Osasuna Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Cádiz will win (votes: 11 - 23.4%). Osasuna will win (votes: 8 - 17%). It will Tie (votes: 28 - 59.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45.6% – 73.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ledesma C. (G) 20. Carcelen I. (C) 14. Mbaye M. 3. Fali 15. Hernandez J. 11. Alejo I. 8. Fernandez A. 4. Alcaraz R. 18. Machis D. 16. Ramos C. 21. Marti R.	1. Herrera S. (G) 12. Areso J. 4. Garcia U. (C) 5. Garcia D. 3. Cruz J. 16. Gomez M. 6. Torro L. 10. Oroz A. 9. Avila C. 17. Budimir A. 14. Garcia R.
Substitutes
13. Gil D. (G) 25. Gomez M. 19. Guardiola S. 6. Jose Mari 33. Lucas Pires 22. Mere J. 27. Navarro R. 9. Negredo A. 10. Ocampo B. 24. San Emeterio F. 7. Sobrino R. 2. Zaldua J.	20. Arnaiz J. M. 8. Brasanac D. 13. Fernandez A. (G) 28. Herrando J. 19. Ibanez P. 7. Moncayola J. 34. Munoz I. 23. Raul 31. Valencia P. (G) 2. Vidal N.
Coaches
Sergio	Arrasate J.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 0.

Recent matches Cádiz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Osasuna is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cádiz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Cádiz have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Cádiz: Chust V. (Red Card) Escalante G. (Injury) Hernandez L. (Knee Injury) Kouame R. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Osasuna: Barja K. (Muscle Injury) Catena A. (Yellow Cards) Mojica J. (Knee Injury) Pena R. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Cádiz: Ledesma C. (Muscle Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 8-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Cádiz won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cádiz CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.12.23	Arandina - Cádiz	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
04.12.23	Celta de Vigo - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
29.11.23	Mallorca - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
26.11.23	Cádiz - Real Madrid	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
16.11.23	Atlético Sanluqueño - Cádiz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LTTLW
- Osasuna
Spanish LaLiga
02.12.23	Osasuna - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
26.11.23	Villarreal - Osasuna	3:1 ✺
11.11.23	Osasuna - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
04.11.23	Osasuna - Girona	2:4 ✺
29.10.23	Betis - Osasuna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
25.04.23	Cádiz - Osasuna	0:1
20.08.22	Osasuna - Cádiz	2:0
09.01.22	Osasuna - Cádiz	2:0
29.08.21	Cádiz - Osasuna	2:3
11.05.21	Osasuna - Cádiz	3:2
12.09.20	Cádiz - Osasuna	0:2
Spanish LaLiga2
19.05.19	Cádiz - Osasuna	0:0

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