Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Pedro Escartín (Guadalajara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	CD Guadalajara		Cacereño

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.6
	2.02	3.15	3.6
	2.09	3.28	3.49	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.3
	2.03	3.08	3.55
	2.05	3.1	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.07)	3.1 ↓ (3.33)	3.48 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Guadalajara
44.7%

Draw
29.3%

Cacereño
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

27.9%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

27.9%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

CD Guadalajara - Cacereño Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cacereño (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vicente D. (G) 23. Casado J. 4. Ablanque J. 18. Martinez J. 5. Gallardo D. 8. Calvo T. 14. Tavares R. 7. Neskes 19. Munoz P. 11. Alvarez U. 24. Caropitche S. M.	1. Nieves D. (G) 2. Martinez Munoz I. 3. Barrio J. (C) 23. El Goumiri O. 22. Hernandez E. 24. Valdera R. 6. Conesa N. 10. Hyjek J. 19. Gomez C. 17. Berlanga M. 9. Gomez D.
Substitutes
9. Canizo A. 16. Cera 20. Diaz B. 17. Gomez J. 27. Mayo N. 21. Perero G. 15. Rodriguez V. 6. Rojo P. 1. Zarco A. (G)	4. Crespo A. 8. Deco 20. Gonzalez C. 13. Martinez Marti I. (G) 21. Morales A. 18. Sanchis R. 27. Santamaria I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Hyjek J. ⚽,
27', El Goumiri O. ↓, Crespo A. ↑,
40', 1 - 1, Ablanque J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Munoz P. ↓, Canizo A. ↑,
52', Valdera R. 🟨,
59', Conesa N. 🟨,
60', Alvarez U. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
63', Tavares R. 🟨,
69', Neskes ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
69', Caropitche S. M. ↓, Perero G. ↑,
74', Gomez D. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
74', Hyjek J. ↓, Deco ↑,
90', Barrio J. 🟨,
90', Calvo T. 🟨,
90', Nieves D. 🟨,
90+2', Gomez J. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 3.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Guadalajara might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Cacereno	6	3	2	1	6:3	3	11

Last Results with these Odds

CD Guadalajara - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.87%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.01.26	Talavera de la Reina - CD Guadalajara	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	CD Guadalajara - Zamora	2:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.25	CD Guadalajara - Barcelona	0:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.12.25	Real Madrid Castilla - CD Guadalajara	3:1 ✺
07.12.25	CD Guadalajara - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW
- CP Cacereño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.01.26	Cacereño - Celta de Vigo B	2:3 ✺
20.12.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Cacereño	2:2 ✺
12.12.25	Cacereño - Zamora	0:2 ✺
06.12.25	Cacereño - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Talavera de la Reina - Cacereño	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	CD Guadalajara - Cacereño	2:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.02.25	CD Guadalajara - Cacereño	1:0
29.09.24	Cacereño - CD Guadalajara	0:0
24.02.24	CD Guadalajara - Cacereño	0:2
14.10.23	Cacereño - CD Guadalajara	1:3
19.03.23	CD Guadalajara - Cacereño	0:1
30.10.22	Cacereño - CD Guadalajara	1:4

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