Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 2

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Yankel Rosenthal (San Pedro Sula)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox


	CD Marathón		Juticalpa

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.75	7.5
	1.29	4.93	8.09
	1.32	5.18	8.42	Watch
	1.3	4.5	9
	1.27	4.7	9.85	Watch
	1.28	5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↑ (1.22)	4.84 ↓ (5.92)	8.39 ↓ (11.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Marathón
70.4%

Draw
18.8%

Juticalpa
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.3%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Marathón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CD Marathón's form might have worsened.

Juticalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

CD Marathón - Juticalpa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Samudio C. (C) 60. Arriaga L. 7. Castillo I. 26. Elvir S. 54. Fernandez J. 2. Figueroa H. 5. Martinez Hernandez F. E. 11. Messiniti N. 6. Orellana A. 8. Sorto Caballero T. A. 17. Vega Orellana A. N.	1. Torres D. (G) 10. Canales M. 12. Casildo L. 15. Gaboriell N. 6. Garcia J. 24. Gomez N. 20. Gonzalez R. 16. Guity E. 11. Hurtado L. 3. Medrano Y. 25. Mendoza D.
Substitutes
35. Alvarado 3. Bodden K. 79. Castillo R. 43. Montoya L. 13. Moya B. 22. Nunez M. 27. Perez C. 10. Ramirez D. 21. Ramos O. 1. Rougier J. (G) 30. Sacaza C. 41. Sevilla C.	35. Alzate S. (G) 7. Canales C. 17. Cerrato M. 33. Galindo F. 28. Gomez A. 13. Gonzalez S. 31. Henriquez J. 4. Matute K. 37. Mendoza O. 38. Rodriguez R. 30. Rodriguez S. 9. Villafranca J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Messiniti N. ⚽,
39', Garcia J. 🟨,
40', 2 - 0, Messiniti N. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Gomez N. 🟨,
57', Gutierrez Vargas Y. N. ↓, Cerrato M. ↑,
57', Hurtado L. ↓, Lacayo J. ↑,
58', Lacayo J. 🟨,
60', Messiniti N. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
60', Fernandez J. ↓, Perez C. ↑,
63', Vega Orellana A. N. 🟨,
67', Canales M. ↓, Gaboriell N. ↑,
71', Vega Orellana A. N. ↓, Moya B. ↑,
77', Lacayo J. 🟨,
79', Castillo I. ↓, Ramos O. ↑,
80', Sorto Caballero T. A. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
82', 3 - 0, Ramos O. ⚽,
83', Ramos O. 🟨,
84', Medrano Y. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
84', Canales C. ↓, Mendoza O. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 3.

In recent matches, Marathón has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Marathón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Marathón is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 43:22. (average 2.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Marathón won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 32:12. (average 3.2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Marathon	8	5	2	1	14:6	8	17
11	Juticalpa	8	2	0	6	8:19	-11	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Marathón
Honduras Liga Nacional
25.01.26	Lobos UPNFM - CD Marathón	1:1 ✺
07.01.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - CD Marathón	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	CD Marathón - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	2:2 ✺
28.12.25	CD Marathón - Olancho	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Platense - CD Marathón	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLTWT
- Juticalpa FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
24.01.26	Juticalpa - Choloma	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Juticalpa - Motagua	1:7 ✺
03.12.25	Génesis PN - Juticalpa	2:2 ✺
26.11.25	Juticalpa - Victoria La Ceiba	3:4 ✺
22.11.25	Lobos UPNFM - Juticalpa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
03.10.25	Juticalpa - CD Marathón	1:3
27.07.25	CD Marathón - Juticalpa	7:0
06.03.25	CD Marathón - Juticalpa	4:0
19.01.25	Juticalpa - CD Marathón	0:0
20.10.24	Juticalpa - CD Marathón	1:1
10.08.24	CD Marathón - Juticalpa	4:1
30.03.19	CD Marathón - Juticalpa	1:2

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