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Current Win Probability
CD Marathón 40.7%
Draw 29.5%
Olimpia Tegucigalpa 29.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.8%
27.9%
30.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
26.5%
28.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CD Marathón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Olimpia Tegucigalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Tegucigalpa than the current prediction. (-1%)
CD Marathón - Olimpia Tegucigalpa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rougier J. (G) 16. Agurcia S. 22. Argueta C. 14. Arriaga Chavez J. A. 9. Farioli B. 2. Figueroa H. (C) 11. Messiniti N. 29. Perez C. 10. Ramirez D. 4. Rivera J. 8. Sorto Caballero T. A.
1. Menjivar E. (C) 5. Cuello E. 31. Dibble N. 6. Garcia F. 18. Garcia R. 2. Hernandez E. 4. Lobo E. 20. Maldonado A. 25. Paguada D. 21. Pena K. 68. Rodriguez J.
Substitutes
19. Aguilera J. 3. Bodden K. 20. Bueso J. 39. Canales M. 7. Castillo I. 77. Elis A. 13. Fernandez J. 31. Juarez H. (G) 12. Mejia Y. 43. Montoya L. 72. Moreno Y. 21. Ramos O.
23. Alvarez J. 19. Arboleda Y. 3. Bennett C. 12. Canales C. 45. Cortes B. 7. Enriquez I. 26. Flores D. 15. Guity K. 14. Jean-Baptiste J. 39. Ortiz A. 8. Rodriguez E. 22. Rodriguez O. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Dibble N. 🟨,
35', Cuello E. 🟨,
36', Paguada D. 🟨,
40', Rivera J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rodriguez J. ↓, Enriquez I. ↑,
46', Dibble N. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
50', Sorto Caballero T. A. 🟨,
52', Cuello E. 🟨,
53', Paguada D. ↓, Canales C. ↑,
59', Perez C. ↓, Moreno Y. ↑,
70', Pena K. ↓, Guity K. ↑,
73', Canales C. 🟨,
74', Sorto Caballero T. A. ↓, Elis A. ↑,
78', Maldonado A. ↓, Arboleda Y. ↑,
80', Farioli B. 🟨,
82', Arriaga Chavez J. A. ↓, Aguilera J. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, Figueroa H. ⚽,
87', Arboleda Y. 🟨,
87', Moreno Y. 🟨,
89', Menjivar E. 🟨,
90', Rodriguez E. 🟨,
90+2', Farioli B. 🟨,
90+4', Rougier J. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 2.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Marathón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Marathón has had a series of home games.
Marathón could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:31. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Marathón won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).
Honduras
North-central-america
Usa
Watch
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Rougier J. (G) 
Farioli B. 
Rivera J. 
Cuello E. 
Moreno Y. 
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