Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Yankel Rosenthal (San Pedro Sula)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	CD Marathón		Victoria La Ceiba

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	8.75
	1.11	6.7	16.5
	1.15	6.56	11.76
	1.14	7.56	15.93	Watch
	1.14	6	23
	1.18	6.59	13.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.22)	6.44 ↑ (5.1)	14.94 ↑ (11.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Marathón
79.5%

Draw
14.3%

Victoria La Ceiba
6.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.4%

17.8%

7.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Marathón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CD Marathón's performance.

Victoria La Ceiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

CD Marathón - Victoria La Ceiba Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rougier J. (G) 19. Aguilera J. 3. Bodden K. 7. Castillo I. 26. Elvir S. 54. Fernandez J. 5. Martinez Hernandez F. E. 11. Messiniti N. 10. Ramirez D. (C) 4. Rivera J. 17. Vega Orellana A. N.	1. Flores E. (G) 5. Banegas A. 3. Barrios O. 17. Bernardez C. 48. Card S. 20. Espinal M. 33. Garcia J. 6. Matute C. 4. Oliva E. 38. Ramirez L. 65. Sevilla L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+3', Garcia J. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ramirez D. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
46', Ramirez L. ↓, Lahera Y. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Castillo R. ⚽,
61', Bodden K. 🟨,
65', Vega Orellana A. N. ↓, Ramos O. ↑,
65', Messiniti N. ↓, Perez C. ↑,
71', Banegas A. ↓, Portillo A. ↑,
71', Bernardez C. ↓, Monico D. ↑,
72', Oliva E. 🟨,
75', Fernandez J. ↓, Sorto Caballero T. A. ↑,
80', Oliva E. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Castillo R. ⚽,
84', Castillo I. ↓, Gaido C. ↑,
86', Card S. ↓, Bueso G. ↑,
90+3', Bueso G. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 1.

Marathón is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Victoria La Ceiba is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Marathón is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Marathón won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Marathon	8	5	2	1	14:6	8	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Marathón
Honduras Liga Nacional
18.03.26	Juticalpa - CD Marathón	0:4 ✺
14.03.26	CD Marathón - Lobos UPNFM	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Choloma - CD Marathón	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	CD Marathón - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	2:1 ✺
26.02.26	CD Marathón - Génesis PN	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWTWL
- Victoria La Ceiba
Honduras Liga Nacional
15.03.26	Victoria La Ceiba - Platense	2:3 ✺
11.03.26	Real España - Victoria La Ceiba	4:1 ✺
08.03.26	Victoria La Ceiba - Génesis PN	2:4 ✺
28.02.26	Juticalpa - Victoria La Ceiba	1:0 ✺
24.02.26	Victoria La Ceiba - Olancho	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
31.01.26	Victoria La Ceiba - CD Marathón	0:0
27.09.25	CD Marathón - Victoria La Ceiba	2:2
24.07.25	Victoria La Ceiba - CD Marathón	0:3
10.05.25	CD Marathón - Victoria La Ceiba	0:1 penalties
07.05.25	Victoria La Ceiba - CD Marathón	0:0
13.03.25	Victoria La Ceiba - CD Marathón	1:4
25.01.25	CD Marathón - Victoria La Ceiba	0:1

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