Match Info

MLS

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Saputo Stadium (Montreal, QC)

Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	RDS App, TSN 5
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	CF Montréal		Portland Timbers

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.75	3.6	Watch
	1.98	3.7	3.55	Watch
	1.98	3.85	3.6
	1.96	3.71	3.58	Watch
	1.91	3.5	3.4
	2	3.87	3.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (1.97)	3.73 ↑ (3.6)	3.57 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CF Montréal
48.3%

Draw
25.3%

Portland Timbers
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

26.3%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

26.4%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CF Montréal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Portland Timbers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	8.3%	33.3%

CF Montréal - Portland Timbers Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Portland will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montreal: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Gillier T. (G) 17. Thorhallsson D. 2. Neal J. 4. Vera B. 13. Petrasso L. 29. Escobar O. 22. Loturi V. 8. Longstaff M. (C) 16. Carmona W. 14. Rios D. 23. Streit N.	41. Pantemis J. (G) 5. Bye B. 20. Surman F. (C) 4. Miller K. 27. Fory J. 17. Bassett C. 30. Caicedo J. 99. Velde K. 10. Da Costa D. 28. Aravena A. 19. Kelsy K.
Substitutes
25. Amaya F. 1. Breza S. (G) 27. Bugaj D. 5. Craig B. 10. Ivan Jaime 24. Morales E. 7. Opoku M. 9. Owusu P. 6. Piette S.	11. Antony 6. Bonetig A. 21. Chara D. 7. Lassiter A. 9. Mora F. 29. Mosquera J. 25. Muse T. (G) 80. Ortiz J. 23. Smith I.
Coaches
Eullaffroy P.	Neville P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', Caicedo J. ↓, Chara D. ↑,
11', 1 - 0, Rios D. ⚽, Longstaff M. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Kelsy K. ⚽, Velde K. (A),
35', Escobar O. ↓, Piette S. ↑,
45', 2 - 1, Carmona W. ⚽, Longstaff M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Aravena A. ↓, Antony ↑,
59', Fory J. ↓, Smith I. ↑,
68', Neal J. 🟨,
69', Rios D. ↓, Owusu P. ↑,
69', Carmona W. ↓, Ivan Jaime ↑,
77', 2 - 2, Bassett C. ⚽,
79', Owusu P. 🟨,
81', Longstaff M. 🟨,
82', Kelsy K. ↓, Mora F. ↑,
83', Bassett C. 🟨,
88', Streit N. ↓, Opoku M. ↑,
88', Thorhallsson D. ↓, Bugaj D. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 11 and 12)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.

Montreal could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Montreal: Herbers F. (Lower-Body Injury) Hidalgo B. (Inactive) Ibrahim S. (Back Injury) Synchuk G. (Injury)

There will not play in Portland: Fernandez O. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Portland: Fory J. (Injury) McGraw Z. (Back Injury) Mosquera J. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 2.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 2.6:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Montréal
MLS
09.05.26	CF Montréal - Orlando City	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Atlanta United - CF Montréal	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	CF Montréal - New York City	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	CF Montréal - New York Red Bulls	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWL
- Portland Timbers
MLS
09.05.26	Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City	6:0 ✺
02.05.26	Real Salt Lake - Portland Timbers	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	San Diego - Portland Timbers	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Minnesota United - Portland Timbers	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Portland Timbers - Los Angeles	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
07.10.23	CF Montréal - Portland Timbers	4:1
26.06.19	CF Montréal - Portland Timbers	2:1
21.07.18	Portland Timbers - CF Montréal	2:2
20.05.17	CF Montréal - Portland Timbers	4:1
13.07.16	Portland Timbers - CF Montréal	1:1
09.05.15	CF Montréal - Portland Timbers	1:2
27.07.14	CF Montréal - Portland Timbers	2:3

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