Match Info

MLS

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Saputo Stadium (Montreal, QC)

Referee: Pekmic I. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	Amazon Prime Video
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	CF Montréal		St. Louis City

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.9	2.5	Watch
	2.25	3.7	2.8
	2.42	3.95	2.62
	2.29	3.88	2.98
	2.47	3.93	2.47	Watch
	2.51	3.95	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (1.97)	3.89 ↑ (3.6)	2.66 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CF Montréal
39.7%

Draw
24.5%

St. Louis City
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

25.4%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

24.1%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CF Montréal's form might have worsened.

St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Louis City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CF Montréal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Louis City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

CF Montréal - St. Louis City Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). St. Louis City will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montreal: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Montreal (votes: 1 - 50%). St. Louis City (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - St. Louis City (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Montreal (votes: 1 - 33.3%). St. Louis City (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Sirois J. (G) 27. Bugaj D. 5. Craig B. 4. Alvarez F. 13. Petrasso L. 22. Loturi V. 8. Longstaff M. 6. Piette S. 25. Sealy D. 9. Owusu P. 11. Ivan Jaime	1. Burki R. (C) 2. Padelford D. 95. Fall F. 5. Kessler H. 6. Wallem C. 17. Hartel M. 8. Durkin C. 10. Lowen E. 77. Jeong S. 9. Joao Klauss 12. Pompeu C.
Substitutes
10. Duke B. 29. Escobar O. 31. Gillier T. (G) 39. Guboglo Y. 21. Herbers F. 19. Hidalgo B. 14. Ibrahim S. 24. Morales E. 18. Synchuk G.	49. Antwi S. 32. Baumgartl T. 22. Hiebert K. 59. Joyner M. 39. Lundt B. (G) 80. McSorley B. 27. Morales A. 7. Ostrak T. 14. Totland T.
Coaches
Donadel M.	Critchley D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Wallem C. ⚽,
18', Durkin C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Piette S. 🟨,
55', 0 - 2, Hartel M. ⚽, Joao Klauss (A), Jeong S. (A2)
56', Alvarez F. ↓, Morales E. ↑,
56', Sealy D. ↓, Synchuk G. ↑,
56', Piette S. ↓, Herbers F. ↑,
61', Durkin C. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
61', Jeong S. ↓, Joyner M. ↑,
73', Pompeu C. ↓, McSorley B. ↑,
73', Ivan Jaime ↓, Escobar O. ↑,
85', Lowen E. ↓, Antwi S. ↑,
85', Loturi V. 🟨,
86', Bugaj D. ↓, Hidalgo B. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 14).

Recent performances by Montreal have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

St. Louis City's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Montreal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.

Montreal could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Montreal: Herbers F. (Injury) Neal J. (Illness) Piette S. (Upper-Body Injury) Vrioni G. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R. (Hip Injury) Teuchert C. (Lower-Body Injury) Wentzel M. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Montreal: Opoku K. (Lower-Body Injury) Synchuk G. (Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Montréal
MLS
30.08.25	Toronto FC - CF Montréal	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	CF Montréal - Austin FC	3:2 ✺
16.08.25	CF Montréal - DC United	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	CF Montréal - Atlanta United	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
05.08.25	CF Montréal - Puebla	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWTTL
- St. Louis City SC
MLS
06.09.25	St. Louis City - FC Dallas	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo	2:3 ✺
23.08.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - St. Louis City	3:2 ✺
16.08.25	Chicago Fire - St. Louis City	3:2 ✺
09.08.25	St. Louis City - Nashville SC	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLLLW

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